CEO Kalshi, Tarek Mansour, announced on X that the company does not list direct payout betting markets based on death and has designed rules to prevent users from profiting from events related to mortality.
Regarding the “Supreme Leader Khamenei’s death” market, Kalshi stated it will refund all trading fees and close open positions at the last trading price before 1:14 a.m. EST — the time of the first attack.
For positions opened after his death, the platform will refund 100%. Mansour emphasized that no users incur losses in this market to ensure fairness and compliance with the platform’s operational principles.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
Polymarket: Iran ceasefire probability is only 3%, and the surge in oil prices is hitting Bitcoin’s price trend
The expected shift around Iran ceasefire talks is toward pessimism, and the trading market shows that the ceasefire success rate set by Trump is only 3%. Iran rejected a short-term ceasefire proposal and put forward long-term political and economic conditions, further compressing the room for negotiations. Energy markets are strengthening in expectation, and the probability that WTI crude for April, which hit $120, rises to 77%. Crypto assets such as Bitcoin are under pressure during the phase when risk appetite declines, with capital flowing into traditional safe-haven assets.
GateNews28m ago
Kalshi Wins in New Jersey: Prediction Markets Get Federal Endorsement, Key Ruling in the Regulatory Authority Battle
American prediction market platform Kalshi made progress in its legal dispute with the state of New Jersey, as a court ruled that its contracts fall under federal regulation and are not gambling. The decision emphasized that the product meets the definition of a “swap transaction,” protecting Kalshi’s operations within the state. This case marks the first time a federal court has considered the legality of a prediction market, and increased attention will be paid to a unified regulatory framework going forward.
GateNews1h ago
A certain account bought $180k CS2 event MIBR win positions on Polymarket.
Polymarket reports that on April 7, in the match between MIBR and EYEBALLERS, an account bought roughly a $180k MIBR win position, which is currently slightly down. This event is a key matchup for PGL Bucharest 2026 and will affect qualification status.
GateNews2h ago
Predicts On Polymarket, the FDV forecasts for the token launch on day one plunged across the board, and the settlement rules sparked controversy
On April 7, on the Predict platform, the FDV prediction market regarding Polymarket’s token launch day saw a sharp drop, with a 13% probability that FDV would be greater than $2 billion. Polymarket announced an upgrade to its trading engine and the launch of the stablecoin Polymarket USD, sparking controversy in the market over whether this would be considered a token issuance, which caused the probabilities for related events to fluctuate.
GateNews2h ago
Bitcoin drops toward $68,000 as demand weakens and whales sell
Bitcoin BTC$68,767.57 slid toward $68,000 on Tuesday, with traditional markets closed in Hong Kong for a long weekend, as repeated failures near $70,000 left the bitcoin market vulnerable to a break lower.
The drop came after another failed push above $70,000, with prices slipping quickly once
CoinDesk3h ago
Two major high-win-rate accounts bet on the U.S. seizing Iran’s “enriched uranium,” with the highest win rate reaching 81%
Recently, on prediction market platform Polymarket, two accounts collectively staked $5,900, betting that the odds of the “United States obtaining Iran’s highly enriched uranium before June” are 81%. These two accounts have strong historical performance in Iran-related categories and chose to enter when the valuation was undervalued. According to reports, the U.S. military has proposed a plan to deploy ground forces to seize highly enriched uranium, but it faces legal constraints.
MarketWhisper3h ago
