Greeks.live: From the overall Options data, it can be seen that a short-term bottom has formed, but the Fluctuation expectations remain high.

BTC-0,65%

BlockBeats news, on November 26, researcher Adam from Greeks.live posted on social media, "In the third quarter, we observed that the options market was clearly optimistic about the fourth quarter. Even during the continuous fall of Bitcoin prices in late August, the Q4 options holdings remained bullish. We referred to it at the time as the Q4 market or Christmas market; however, the big dump on 1011 and the continued decline in November have shattered the previous market structure. In the current market context, the voices calling for a price surge to new highs in the fourth quarter have completely disappeared, and a pessimistic atmosphere is spreading. Although this week RV, IV, and 25D Skew have shown a downward trend, the market's panic has not dissipated, and the mid to long-term options data from the end of this year to next year still points to bearishness. Due to the approach of monthly delivery, there have been significant price fluctuations this month, leading to a strong demand from whales for position shifting. From an overall data perspective, a short-term bottom has already formed, and the options market's preference for the recent continuous decline has weakened, with a higher expectation for short-term market fluctuations. However, the market situation in the last month of this year remains dangerous, and volatility expectations are still high.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Bitcoin Drops Below $69k: Trump’s Final Ultimatum to Iran Triggers Risk-Off Selling

Bitcoin fell to $685,000 on April 7, down about 2% for the day. Driven by concerns over the Middle East situation, risk-off sentiment has increased. With the market under pressure and international oil prices rising, the crypto market has faced headwinds, and investors lack confidence in a Bitcoin rebound. In the short term, macro events will continue to affect Bitcoin’s price action.

GateNews19m ago

AAVE breaks below the $100 support: DeFi sector selloff intensifies, and $80 may become the key line of defense

The DeFi market continues to face persistent pressure. On April 6, AAVE fell sharply to $84, and the current price is trading in a range around $94. Technical indicators show that bearish signals are dominant, while the fundamentals bring uncertainty due to the end of a partnership. In the short term, watch the $92 support level; $100 is a key reversal signal. The overall trend is influenced by market sentiment, so the probability of a rebound is relatively low.

GateNews22m ago

XRP Critical Three Weeks: U.S. Senate Legislative Progress Could Decide Whether to Break Above $1.60 or Fall Below $1.20

As the XRP price enters a key policy window, the progress of the U.S. Senate's “CLARITY Act” over the next three weeks will affect its 2026 outlook. XRP is currently trading at about $1.34; if the bill passes smoothly, it could bring in $4.0 billion to $8.0 billion in capital inflows, driving the price higher. Otherwise, it will depend on the broader macro environment and could fall to below $1.20. Policy progress is the dominant factor right now, and April will become a crucial turning point.

GateNews30m ago

Big data is coming this Thursday: whether Bitcoin can hold $67k depends on the Fed’s signals

This week, the U.S. will release four macroeconomic data points, including the FOMC meeting minutes and CPI data, which could determine whether Bitcoin can hold the $67k level. Bitcoin is currently trading in a range around $69k, with a 23% decline year-to-date. Market sentiment is subdued, and institutional capital support is limited, resulting in weaker demand—making this a key moment in the long-versus-short battle.

GateNews41m ago

XRP drops to $1.31, and a failed breakout combined with declining liquidity may trigger accelerated volatility

After failing to break above $1.35, the XRP price has fallen back to around $1.31, with an intraday drop of about 1.9%. The market shows clear selling pressure, and reduced liquidity is amplifying volatility; short-term sentiment is tilted toward defense. Key support is in the $1.31 to $1.30 range, and if it breaks down, it could test $1.28.

GateNews1h ago

Trump Announces April 25 Mar-a-Lago Gala, Dispelling Rumors of Sudden Illness

Trump announced on April 7 that he will hold a meeting and luncheon at Mar-a-Lago on April 25. This news came at the height of the spread of health rumors. A White House spokesperson denied that Trump is ill, emphasizing that he is working normally at the White House. During the rumor period, the price of the TRUMP coin associated with Trump rose at one point, showing how politically themed meme coins are sensitive to news events, but long-term value has remained under pressure; the TRUMP coin is down more than 96% from its all-time high.

MarketWhisper2h ago
Comment
0/400
No comments