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DeFi needs higher certainty, not higher yield
Opinion by: Robin Nordnes, co-founder and CEO of Raiku
Many decentralized finance (DeFi) diehards assume that the future of institutional adoption will be driven by sparkly, sky-high yields. The reality is that the mainstream will be most impressed with consistency and reliability.
DeFi opened the door for ordinary people to access financial tools that were previously reserved for institutions. For the first time, anyone could invest their money in open markets from anywhere in the world. That was a massive step forward. The same openness that made this possible came with a trade-off. Decentralization gave us freedom, but it sometimes meant unpredictability.
Now it is time to close that gap. The next chapter of DeFi is about building systems that are as consistent as the apps we use every day. When crypto becomes as dependable as Web2, it will invite entire industries to move onchain. That’s what we need if we’re actually going to onboard the next billion users.
The illusion of yield
DeFi has always thrived on yield. It was the hook that pulled millions in. The idea that your assets could earn while you sleep was powerful, and it worked. Yield only matters, however, when the foundation underneath it holds steady. If execution is unpredictable, the numbers on the screen are just an illusion.
Retail investors might ignore that, but the world we are trying to onboard isn’t going to. Institutions, funds and businesses care about precision, and they will not build on shaky ground. The final piece of the puzzle is making crypto apps that are as consistent and predictable as the Web2 apps we trust and use daily.
In 2020, mass DeFi adoption was predicted to happen somewhere between 2023 and 2025
Now that 2025 is almost over, it’s pretty clear that we’re only marginally closer to this goal now than we were then. As crypto gradually becomes more important in the broader financial sphere, we need to properly acknowledge the risks that institutions are wary of.
Related: Brazilian stablecoin opens door to country’s double-digit yields
Yes, DeFi has grown, and yield is grabbing the attention of everyday investors. We can’t expect institutions to onboard with the promise of 5% yield that comes with the risk of system collapse.
As decentralized markets evolve and strive to become institutional-grade systems, reliability, predictability and determinism are what will define the next wave of DeFi.
What’s setting DeFi back
Let’s take a look at Solana. Currently, it’s already fast, consistent and continually improving. Most users rarely see issues anymore. When you start operating at the scale of institutions, however, running automated liquidation strategies or processing thousands of transactions per minute, “almost” is not good enough. For a hedge fund or an exchange, a single failed transaction can throw off an entire day of reporting or shift risk across millions of dollars.
Retail users already trust Solana. Institutions are next in line. They need certainty. They need to know that when they press “execute,” it happens instantly and exactly as intended.
Reliability is the new alpha
Reliability is what transforms crypto from an experiment into an economy, and institutions won’t be enticed without it. Of course, institutional players care about 5%, 10% or even 20% APY, but they care even more about 100% reliability.
Funds, exchanges and banks can manage billions of assets and must answer to customers, governments and the global financial industry if anything goes wrong. Why risk your reputation on systems that have proven themselves to be fallible? Institutions considering DeFi rails need precision, execution guarantees and predictable latency. Speculative returns aren’t so important when you’re trying to bring a sizable chunk of the world’s GDP onchain.
The shift toward determinism
More than we need speed, we need certainty. Deterministic execution means knowing exactly when your transaction will be processed and how it will behave once it is completed. It levels the playing field and gives everyone, from traders to institutions, the same kind of confidence they already expect from traditional systems.
The missing piece for large-scale DeFi adoption is not more speculative incentives for hopeful bagholders, but rather reliability that holds up under stress. When networks can guarantee inclusion and precision, and when validators are rewarded for uptime rather than speculation,
DeFi stops being a gamble and starts becoming infrastructure.
From yield wars to infrastructure wars
DeFi has moved in cycles. First came yield farming, then scaling, then protocol-owned liquidity and now real-world assets. Each wave brought innovation and capital. None of it has fully opened the door for institutions. The next cycle will.
The new era for DeFi won’t be about chasing APY but rather about who can deliver predictable outcomes at internet speed. The winners will be the ones who make DeFi feel boring in the best way: stable, fast and precise.
Opinion by: Robin Nordnes, co-founder and CEO of Raiku.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.