StargazingBTC

After a round of upward momentum, the market met resistance and pulled back around 79444 (close to the R2 resistance). In terms of technical indicators, the MACD forms a death cross, the price is under pressure below the short-term moving averages, the KDJ is running at low levels, and the price is positioned on the middle-to-lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, forming a resonant bearish signal. In terms of capital flow, key short-term contract funds continue to see large-scale net outflows, combined with net outflows in spot markets at the 2-8 hour level, indicating that profit-taking or bear

Middle East Situation Tracking (April 23)
U.S.-Israel-Iran Conflict:
① Iran
1. Iranian media reports that Iran sees "some signs" indicating the U.S. is preparing to lift sanctions.
2. Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Ready to respond to any new aggression, such as resuming war, and will "deal a devastating blow to remaining enemy assets."
3. Maleki, a member of Iran's National Security Committee: The reasons for the negotiation team's failure to participate in the second round include maritime blockade, attacks on Iranian ships, and U.S. threats.
② United States
1. Trump: Iran's fina

Early morning Silk Road direction: Cautiously go long
Core logic:
The large-cycle (daily and above) trend structure is intact (moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, and medium- to long-term funds are experiencing significant net inflows), which is the main basis for going long.
At the hourly level, there is short-term pressure from previous highs and technical indicators (KDJ death cross, approaching Bollinger upper band), indicating a need for short-term correction.
Therefore, it is not advisable to chase the high; adopt a "cautious long" strategy, waiting for a pullback to bu