HenriqueCen

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Are you an investor, or just part of the stampede? 🐂🏃‍♂️
We go mad in herds, but we recover our senses solitary and slowly.
Where do you stand on this chart right now?
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Most of you will lose money in the stock market. Not because you're dumb — but because you think like everyone else.
"Great company → Buy!" is how retail investors get fleeced.
Wall Street loves first-level thinkers. You're their exit liquidity.
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Everyone panics when oil prices surge.
I analyzed 50 years of data.
The results? 🤯
Average SPX return during oil surges: +14.6%
4 out of 6 times → stocks went UP
Your fear is costing you money.
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You paid $50 for something worth $20 and called it "investing."
No, you bought the hype. You bought the narrative. You bought what everyone on FinTwit told you to buy.
Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. Most of you have no idea what you're actually getting.
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UNPOPULAR OPINION: Oil price spikes are NOT the stock market killer everyone thinks
$SPX returned +14.6% on average during oil surges.
Wait, what?
Here's what Wall Street won't tell you:
- 1973 Oil Embargo → SPX -38% (expected)
- 1990 Gulf War → SPX -12% (expected)
- 2008-09 Recovery → SPX +64% (wait...)
- 2020-21 Recovery → SPX +44% (huh?)
- 1999-2000 → SPX +23% (interesting...)
The real question isn't "is oil surging?"
It's "WHY is oil surging?"
Supply shock from war/embargo? Panic and sell.
Demand surge from economic recovery? Buy the dip.
Stop trading headlines. Start trading context!
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I didn't know the Dutch flag means main muscle and sub muscle 💪
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I built a free indicator that tracks $80 trillion in global liquidity across 7+ central banks.
It measures the gap between global money printing and the S&P 500 — and tells you when the market hasn't caught up yet.
Here's how it works:
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What we just saw happening to Korea's stock market $KOSPI is extreme tail risk.
This level of volatility happens once in 19 years.
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Volatility is volatile.
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Korean market just crashed 20% in 2 days – biggest drop in history
Fear: Korea imports 95% of energy, oil prices rising
Reality: 20% drop is panic, not fundamentals
Starting positions in KOSPI/KORU 🇰🇷
This is what opportunity looks like. 📈
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Analyzed 8 major wars since 1939 to see how they impact the S&P 500.
Pattern is clear:
• Markets drop ~10% in first month on average
• Bottom around day 50
• +22% average return 1 year from bottom
Every single war showed positive returns 1 year after the bottom.
Fear creates opportunity. Timing is the challenge.
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In China, a Wagyu Tomahawk steak costs USD 24.
The American mind cannot comprehend this.
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Since I posted about rotating from the S&P 500 to the equally weighted S&P 500 earlier this year:
- S&P (SPY): +0.5%
- equally weighted (RSP): +6.3%
💅
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John Maynard Keynes predicted in 1930 that due to the tech developments and automation, people would work only 15 hours per week.
It didn’t happen then, and it will not happen now with AI.
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What
Do you think the current S&P 500 dividend yield level means?
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Started the year by reading all the classics about financial disasters and market crashes.
Nothing says "optimistic 2026" like understanding how everything can fall apart.
- "Extraordinary Popular Delusions"
- "Irrational Exuberance"
- "Manias, Panics, and Crashes"
- "1929"
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No shortcuts. No AI summaries. Just raw, dense, headache-inducing math. This is the unsexy work that actually builds wealth.
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Love to see when people boost more than one of my scripts on TradingView. I guess it means I'm building something people find useful.
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There are only 2 stocks that match these conditions:
- Revenue growth >50%
- Operating margin >30%
- Gross margin >50% AND
- Price is down >20% this year
They are $PLTR and $HOOD. And I'd keep an eye on them.
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