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Goldman Sachs notes that after months of declines in the crypto market, prices may be approaching cyclical lows. In a note dated March 26, 2026, bank analyst James Yaro emphasized that the current pullback is quite close to historical averages. Bitcoin has fallen approximately 46% from its October 2025 peak of $126,000, settling in the $66,000 to $70,000 range. This correction is painting a similar picture in crypto-related stocks.
Crypto-related stocks have fallen around 46% compared to their October 2025 peaks. Goldman Sachs states that this decline makes valuations more attractive. The bank highlights Robinhood, Figure Technologies, and Coinbase among the prominent companies, maintaining a buy recommendation for all three. While raising the price target for Coinbase to $235, it still sees around 35% upside potential. Similarly, it points to attractive entry points for Robinhood and Figure Technologies.
However, Goldman Sachs warns that weakness in trading volumes may persist. Goldman Sachs notes that periods of low volume historically last an average of three months. This could lead to a 2% decrease in revenue and a 4% decrease in profitability in 2026. However, they add that the volume contraction is manageable and a recovery is expected in the second half of the year. The market has been exhibiting volatile but flat performance in recent weeks.
In its overall assessment, Goldman Sachs signals that crypto prices are approaching a cyclical bottom. They state that the historical peak has been reached and the average bottom has been reached, increasing opportunities for long-term investors. However, short-term volume-driven pressures may continue. While this pressure could lead to sudden fluctuations in the Bitcoin price, it could also delay a sustained recovery.
In conclusion, Goldman Sachs' analysis indicates that the market is at a critical juncture. While the correction that has lasted for months conforms to historical norms, selective stock opportunities are emerging. Names like Robinhood Figure and Coinbase are attracting attention during this period. Investors are watching for a volume recovery and are hopefully awaiting the second half of 2026. With this bottom signal, the crypto market is preparing to step into a new cycle.
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$BTC ‌

The Rycroft Review is an independent review report commissioned by the UK Government in December 2025 to strengthen political financing in the UK against foreign interference. Prepared by former senior civil servant Philip Rycroft and published on March 25, 2026, the 60-page report comprehensively addresses the risks of foreign actors (including individual threats from states such as Russia, China, and Iran, as well as allied countries) infiltrating UK democracy through financial channels. The report notes that the current political donation system is undergoing long-term erosion but is not in an immediate crisis, highlighting transparency gaps created by low-traceability instruments such as crypto assets. Its key finding is that foreign financial interference is a “real, persistent and sustainable” threat; however, its impact has remained marginal to date thanks to measures taken. Rycroft recommends future-proofing the system through amendments to the Representation of the People Bill.
The most notable part of the report is recommendation number 3 concerning political donations made via crypto assets. Rycroft proposes a **temporary moratorium** for all crypto donations, to be enacted through the Representation of the People Bill. This moratorium would cover small amounts below the £500 reporting threshold and is described not as a permanent ban, but as “an interim period for the regulatory environment to catch up with the reality of crypto.” The reasoning is clear: the true ownership and origin of crypto assets cannot be fully verified, AI-powered sharding techniques can allow amounts to fall below the reporting threshold, and this carries the potential for rapid growth that could undermine public trust. While the report states that “no crypto donations have yet reached the reporting threshold,” it emphasizes the risk of unpredictable growth rates destroying transparency. Rycroft explicitly states: “This is not a harbinger of a permanent ban, but an interim period for regulation to catch up.” The government immediately adopted this recommendation and retrospectively banned all crypto donations from March 25, 2026; parties are required to return such donations within 30 days.
The report also recommends, under recommendation number 1, to limit annual donations by British overseas electors to £100,000. This step aims to reduce the risk of wealthy overseas Britons making unlimited donations to optimize their tax system. This risk has increased as the number of overseas voters has risen from 1.4 million to 3 million under the Electoral Commission 2022. Rycroft also recommends introducing post-tax profit-based limits on corporate donations, bringing “know your donor” rules closer to anti-money laundering standards, and expanding the powers of the Electoral Commission. Other prominent recommendations among the 17 recommendations include: a complete ban on foreign-funded online political advertising, eliminating tax exemptions for foreign lobbying organizations, establishing a ministerial-level accountable mechanism against online interference, and strengthening controls on donations to political parties. The report cites concrete examples such as the Nathan Gill scandal (the case of the former Reform UK Wales leader accepting bribes for Russian interests) to demonstrate the concreteness of the threats.
The government's response has been swift and decisive. As Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced in Parliament on 25 March 2026, the crypto moratorium and the £100,000 overseas donation cap came into effect immediately. Housing, Communities and Local Government Minister Steve Reed fully supported the report, stating that the crypto donation ban is a fundamental step in protecting our democracy against attempts by foreign states to undermine it. These changes will be enacted as an addendum to the Representation of the People Bill and completed before the next general election. NGOs such as Transparency International UK welcomed the moratorium and cap but called for a general cap on all donations (not just overseas). The Liberal Democrats, meanwhile, demanded that Reform UK return its existing crypto donations.
From an analytical perspective, the Rycroft Review is a critical turning point in the integration of the crypto sector into mainstream politics. The report doesn't declare crypto "bad"; rather, it presents the suspension as a temporary measure to "build trust" until the regulatory infrastructure matures. This approach allows the UK to close transparency gaps on the political financing side while maintaining its claim to leadership as a country making progress in crypto regulation (e.g., in the stablecoin and tokenization field). However, there are also criticisms: some experts interpret this as "the state's lack of trust in its own institutions," arguing that the real problem is a lack of administrative capacity, not technological capacity. For crypto-friendly parties like Reform UK, it represents a direct financial blow; the party is currently the only mainstream entity accepting crypto donations, and the Electoral Commission has previously requested wallet details. In conclusion, the Rycroft Review is concrete evidence of the UK's will to protect its democracy from foreign financial infiltration. While steps like the crypto moratorium may create uncertainty in the sector in the short term, in the long term it can lay the foundation for a regulated and traceable ecosystem. The full text of the report is publicly available on gov uk, and the progress of the Representation of the People Bill should be closely monitored, as this review offers a framework that will reshape not only crypto donations but political financing as a whole. These developments could set a new standard at the intersection of crypto and politics on a global scale.
#UKToSuspendCryptoPoliticalDonations
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Russia predicts oil prices could surpass $150. Ukraine's attack on Russia's second-largest refinery is shaking the global energy market. On March 26 and 27, 2026, Ukrainian drones struck the Kirishi refinery in the Leningrad region for two consecutive nights. This massive facility accounts for 6.6% of Russia's total refining capacity. The attacks caused fires in the main processing units and storage tanks. The refinery was completely shut down. The repair time is uncertain.
The Kirishi refinery was not the only target. In recent weeks, Ukraine has also attacked the Primorsk and Ust-Luga oil terminals on the Baltic Sea. These attacks have crippled a significant portion of Russia's oil export capacity. According to experts, 40% of shipments via the Baltic Sea have been affected. While Russia diverts energy revenues to its war budget, Ukraine is making strategic moves to cut off this flow.
In light of these developments, Russian experts and officials state that oil prices could exceed $150 in the coming weeks. Brent crude oil has already climbed above $100. Tensions in Iran and global supply shortages are also pushing prices higher. Russia plans to ban gasoline exports from April 1st to control fuel prices in the domestic market. This step is being taken to both meet domestic demand and protect stocks.
The attacks are directly hitting the Russian economy. Oil and petroleum product exports are Moscow's largest source of foreign exchange. The shutdown of refineries like Kirishi is leading to both production and export losses. Ukraine, on the other hand, aims to weaken Russia's war financing with these operations. Global markets are uneasy. Analysts say that if supply disruptions continue, prices could climb to $150 or even $200.
These events mark a new phase of the energy war. While Ukraine is striking Russia's most critical facilities with long-range drones, Russia is trying to maintain its traditional advantages. However, each new attack further increases tensions in the oil market. Warnings are being issued that the rise in world energy prices could bring inflation and an economic slowdown.
In conclusion, Russia's $150 oil price forecast is not an empty prediction. The repeated attacks on Ukraine's Kirishi refinery have concretized the global supply risk. Markets are closely watching these developments. A potential surge in energy prices could have critical consequences for both the Russian and global economies.
#OilPricesResumeUptrend
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$XTIUSD ‌$XBRUSD ‌

The war with Iran, triggered by joint US-Israeli operations at the end of February 2026, completely shocked the global oil market. With the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed or severely blocked, approximately 20% of the world's oil supply was put at risk, and Brent crude oil surged from the pre-war range of $70-75 to $112-115 by the end of March 2026.
Current Prices
$XTIUSD ‌$XBRUSD ‌
- Brent Crude: $112.57-114.81/barrel (March 27 close at $112.57, a daily increase of 4.22-6.30%). It has risen by 47.68% in the last month and 57.79% year-on-year.
- WTI Crude: $99.64-101.18/barrel (March 27, an increase of 5.46-7.09%).
While these levels don't quite reach the 2008 peak ($147.50), they represent the sharpest geopolitical surge since the Ukraine shock of 2022. Similar momentum is seen in futures contracts; the May 2026 Brent contract is trading around $114.57.
Main Drivers of the Rise
1. Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Tanker traffic in the strait, which carries 20 million barrels of oil and significant LNG shipments daily, almost came to a standstill. Due to Iranian threats and attacks, insurance premiums skyrocketed, and the daily number of crossings dropped from 130-240 to 5. This created an effective 8-10 million barrel reduction in global supply.
2. Geopolitical Risk Premium: According to Goldman Sachs, a risk premium of $18 is reflected in prices. The market is pricing in a potential rise of Brent to $140-150 in a prolonged shutdown scenario. 3. Demand and Other Factors: Asia's (especially excluding China) high import dependence and OPEC+'s limited spare capacity supported the rise. However, slight increases in inventories (EIA data) acted as a short-term brake.
Historical Comparison and Monthly Change
Brent prices have followed this trend over the last 6 months (approximate data):
- Early January 2026: ~$73
- Late February (pre-war): ~$75-80
- Mid-March: $90-100 range
- March 27: $112-115
This is one of the largest monthly increases since Covid. While the 2024 average is around $80, March 2026 recorded a record increase.
Short and Long-Term Forecasts
- Short-term (April-May 2026): According to the EIA, Brent will remain above $95; $120+ is possible if the Hormuz risk continues. A short-term ceasefire could bring the price down to $85-90.
- Overall 2026: The EIA forecasts an average Brent price of $66-74 (below $80 in Q3, around $70 by the end of the year). JPMorgan, however, forecasts a bearish price of around $60 in its base scenario; excess supply and inventory accumulation will push the price down.
- Long-term risks: If the conflict lasts more than 3 months, a scenario of $130-150 may come to the fore; however, a quick resolution is expected to bring the price back to the $70-80 range.
Economic Implications
High oil prices are increasing stagflationary pressure. Import bills are swelling in Asia, inflation is being pushed up by 0.8-1 percentage points, and central banks' room for interest rate cuts is narrowing. LNG prices in Europe have also risen by nearly 50%. In oil-importing countries like Türkiye, the current account deficit is widening, and gasoline and energy costs are triggering household inflation.
Things to Watch Out For
The Iran war has pushed oil into the $100+ range in the short term, but this rise is largely due to the geopolitical risk premium. If traffic in the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal, prices will quickly fall to the $80-90 range; otherwise, new peaks could be seen in the summer of 2026. Markets are currently partially pricing in the worst-case scenario, but OPEC+ production, US strategic reserves, and potential ceasefire developments are the main sources of uncertainty. Volatility is high for investors in the short term; in the long term, the pressure of oversupply is prominent. Current data should be closely monitored because each new development can instantly move prices by $5-10.
#OilPricesResumeUptrend
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Crypto Assets in the Housing Market: How Fannie Mae's Move is Shaping the Financial World
From Digital Wealth to Tangible Investment
Global financial markets are witnessing a historic development echoing under the hashtag #FannieMaeAcceptsCryptoCollateral. Fannie Mae, one of the US mortgage giants, has given the green light to an innovative housing finance model that indirectly uses crypto assets as collateral, marking a turning point in the integration of digital wealth into the real economy. This step has the potential to rewrite the rules of home ownership, especially for the "asset-rich but cash-strapped" new generation of investors.
The Anatomy and Implications of the Hybrid Model
Instead of radically changing the traditional mortgage structure, this system offers a smart hybrid solution integrated into the existing system. Thanks to collaborations between leading financial technology companies and crypto platforms, homebuyers can now use Bitcoin (BTC) or other verified digital assets as collateral to cover a down payment on a home, without having to sell these assets.
The biggest advantage of this approach is that it frees investors from the obligation to dispose of their assets to create liquidity and from the tax liabilities arising from this sale. However, the system works in a multi-layered way:
Two Separate Loans: While the buyer uses a traditional, long-term home loan that meets Fannie Mae standards, they also take out a second loan using their crypto assets as collateral for the down payment.
Controlled Risk: Fannie Mae does not directly assume the volatility of crypto assets. The crypto-backed loan is managed by an intermediary financial institution. This is a controlled mechanism designed to protect the government-backed mortgage system from systemic risks that sudden price drops could create.
User Assurance: A notable aspect of the model is that there is no immediate margin call if the value of crypto assets falls. This protects the user against short-term fluctuations. However, the risk of liquidation of the collateralized crypto assets remains in case of default on loan payments.
A Revolution or a Pilot Project?
This development is a concrete continuation of the Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) policy steps toward recognizing crypto assets as "reserve assets" by 2025. Given that over 50 million people in the US own crypto assets, this model targets a very broad audience.
However, experts agree that this system is more of a "pilot project" targeting a niche group of "crypto-rich" individuals, rather than a mass revolution in the short term. The additional costs associated with the dual loan structure and ongoing security concerns from regulatory bodies are the biggest obstacles to the model's widespread adoption.
Ultimately, Fannie Mae's move is a strong signal proving that cryptocurrencies are not merely a speculative tool, but can also be a part of the real-world financial infrastructure. The success of this pilot project will determine the direction of future regulations, market conditions, and, most importantly, user confidence in this new model. It should be remembered that major transformations in financial history often begin with such strategic and measured steps.