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ShrimpSaidCoinvip
$BTC $ETH Weekly Line Analysis: The monthly chart shows three consecutive bearish candles. In the last three days of this month, the closing was a small doji with a slight downward trend. The direction for next month also indicates a high probability of significant oscillation and decline. Expect a rebound first, then a decline. The weekly chart shows oscillation up and down for five weeks, with the trend still suppressed below the 5MA3000 and below MA10. If broken, the price could rise further to 3280-3430. There is still room below, so on the weekly and monthly charts, the trend is oscillating with rebounds in a bearish context.
Monthly: 3280-3430, Weekly resistance: 3000-3080-3140, Monthly support: 2560, Weekly support: 2630-2800
Trading three-step approach: No trade without signals, no trade without reasons, no trade without stop-loss.
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知行合一TV策略vip
As of December 27, 2025, 10:00 (UTC+8), SOL is quoted at approximately $123.3. The short-term movement is narrow-range and slightly weak, with a core range of $121-$126. Due to low holiday liquidity, the direction remains uncertain.
Key Views
• Trend: Hovering near the lower boundary of the 4H descending channel, with price under pressure below the 20-day moving average ( $130.2 ). ADX<25 indicates no strong trend, with -DI slightly stronger than +DI.
• Pattern: 4H shows a converging triangle, caution for a downward breakout; the weekly mid-term trend is bearish.
• Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index at 23 (Extreme Fear). Weekend trading is light, with funds on the sidelines.
Key Price Levels (USD)
• Support: 121.0 (4H previous low + lower Bollinger Band) → 119.0 (consolidation zone) → 116.9 (secondary strong support)
• Resistance: 125.0-126.0 (20SMA + psychological level) → 128.0-130.0 (consolidation zone) → 133.0 (previous high)
Indicator Overview
• Moving Averages: Price below the 20/50-day moving averages, short-term bearish; weekly mid-term trend remains weak.
• MACD (4H): Histogram slightly turning negative, both lines below zero, selling pressure persists, rebound momentum insufficient.
• RSI (4H): 40-45 neutral to slightly low, no obvious overbought or oversold signals, lacking clear reversal signs.
• Volume: Weekend trading is light; a breakout above 126 with volume or a drop below 121 may open new space.
Trading Strategies (Actionable)
• Short-term Short: Short at 125.0-125.8, stop loss at 127.5, take profit at 122.0→121.0.
• Short-term Long: Retrace to 121.5 for initial position, add at 120.5, average control below 121.0, stop loss at 119.0, take profit at 124.0.
• Position: Limited volatility over the weekend, trade in small batches, no single position exceeding 10% of total funds, strict stop-loss.
Trend Trigger Conditions
• Upward Breakout: Break above 126.0 with volume, target 128.0→130.0.
• Downward Breakdown: Fall below 121.0, target 119.0→116.9.
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知行合一TV策略vip
As of 2025-12-29 12:00 (UTC+8), SOL is currently trading around $128.5, with a slight intraday increase and low trading volume. The market shows a short-term weak rebound and a medium-term bearish pattern, awaiting a clear direction.
Key Indicator Overview
• Daily Chart: Price below the 20/50/100-day moving averages, with a bearish moving average alignment; MACD shows a death cross, indicating weak momentum; RSI around 46 (neutral to bearish); Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with low volatility.
• 4-Hour Chart: Short-term oversold rebound, MACD shows a golden cross at low levels, with bullish momentum slightly increasing; the middle Bollinger Band at 129.5 and upper band at 130.5 act as resistance, while the lower band at 127.5 provides support.
• Trading Volume: Approximately 670 million USDT over 24 hours, insufficient volume to support a trend breakout.
Key Price Levels (Units: USD)
• Resistance: 130-131 (4h upper band + 20-day moving average) → 133-135 (recent dense trading zone) → 138-140 (50-day moving average).
• Support: 127.5-128 (4h lower band) → 125 (psychological level + key support/resistance) → 120-122 (strong support, previous bottom of oscillation).
Trading Strategy
• Short-term (Intraday): Focus on range trading. If rebound hits resistance at 130-131, consider light short positions with a stop loss at 133, targeting 128-127; if retracement stabilizes at 125, consider light long positions with a stop loss at 123, targeting 129-130.
• Swing Trading: Wait for volume breakout above 131; if volume pushes above 133 and stabilizes, look for a rally to 138-140; if it drops below 123, watch for a move down to 120, or consider cautious short positions.
• Risk Management: Year-end liquidity is low, prone to "pinning" moves; keep single-position exposure below 10%, enforce strict stop losses, and avoid holding heavy overnight positions.
Market Highlights
• Capital Flow: Crypto ETFs continue to outflow, SOL spot market funds are weak, limiting rebound potential.
• Sentiment: Year-end fund repatriation and cautious market sentiment, awaiting new catalysts.
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别当我財vip
September 1, 2025, 9:57 AM
Bitcoin's market fluctuations this morning: the current trend is in a sideways range, with a fluctuation range of 107800~108300.
Operation Strategy: Long position at 106300, additional long position at 105000, take profit at 107800--108300
Note: If it breaks below the key support of 105000, it will drop to 103300--103800.
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别当我財vip
From the 4-hour chart, it is currently experiencing a technical Rebound after piercing the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, with the three lines opening outward and trending downward, corresponding to prices of 4767-4618-4470.
2. MA Moving Average Indicator Performance
From the 4-hour chart, it is currently experiencing a technical Rebound after breaking through the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The three lines are opening outward, showing a trend of opening downward, corresponding to prices of 4767-4618-4470.
3. MACD and RSI Indicator Analysis
In the 4-hour MACD chart, the fast line has crossed below the 0 axis and has formed a death cross, while the two lines are running in parallel below the 0 axis in the hourly chart. It is in a sideways oscillation.
The RSI indicator is in the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, showing a golden cross upward. On the hourly chart, both lines are also in a golden cross upward state, but both lines are in the overbought area.
Four, market conclusion and key levels
Conclusion: Sideways consolidation Upper resistance: 4580, 4670, 4755 Lower support: 4490, 4430, 4350
5. Trading Strategy Recommendations
Long strategy: If it does not stabilize below the middle line of the hourly chart and falls back to the 4450--4430 range, a primary long position can be established, with additional buying at 4330, and a stop loss if it drops below 4300. First take profit: 4530, second take profit: 4630. Short strategy: If the market rebounds and rises, a primary short position can be established in the 4780-4800 range, with additional buying at 4950, and a stop loss at 4999. First take profit: 4680, second take profit: 4610.
The current market rebound is expected to have certain fluctuations, but it will not effectively impact the previous highs. High short positions can be taken at relatively high points.
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别当我財vip
December 23 sol analysis
Looking back at yesterday's review, the overall trend of sol has shown relatively strong performance compared to BTC. After hitting the resistance at 130 and failing to break through, it fell back to a low of 124, then rebounded all the way up to 126 this morning.
sol analysis
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands show three parallel lines corresponding to prices of 127, 125, and 124. The middle band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands is trending upwards. The 1-hour Bollinger Bands show three parallel lines corresponding to prices of 128, 126, and 124, with the middle band of the 1-hour Bollinger Bands trending parallel.
MA moving average: On the 1-hour chart, the price is above ma5 and below the upper boundary, ma5 crosses ma10 from below, sol does not break the upper boundary upwards, and does not break ma5 downwards. On the 4-hour chart, the price is above the middle line, below ma5, ma5 crosses ma10 and ma30 from below, and the middle line does not break downwards or upwards.
MACD
The 1-hour dual lines are below the 0 axis, with the fast line crossing downwards through the slow line, forming a death cross, and the bullish volume decreasing. The 4-hour dual lines are above the 0 axis, forming a golden cross, with the bearish volume decreasing.
RSI Indicator: 4-hour in the oversold trading range 20, 43, 1-hour RSI in the normal trading range corresponds to 54, 48
Summary: Bull Market
Resistance levels: 128, 130
Support levels: 124, 122
High-altitude strategy: If it does not break 128 on the way up, a short position can be established, and 130 can be used to add to the position.
Long position strategy: Add to long positions at 124 and 122.
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别当我財vip
The current 4-hour chart is in the pullback phase after a pump. If it does not hold above during the fall, the 4-hour ma5 will continue to fall. The Bollinger Bands are opening up, with the upper band moving up, the middle band moving down, and the lower band moving down.
The three lines correspond to prices 127, 125, 124.
The bearish volume has increased on the 4-hour level, indicating a potential downtrend.
Short selling volume is beginning to strengthen in the 1-hour timeframe, which may indicate a downtrend.
Moving Average: The 4-hour chart shows a death cross between ma5 and ma10, with the K-line positioned below the short-term moving averages ma5 and ma10.
In the 1-hour chart, the death cross of ma5 and ma10 is showing a downtrend, and the K-line is located below the short-term moving averages ma5 and ma10.
MACD
MACD indicator
The 4-hour chart is above the 0 axis, and the bearish momentum is strengthening.
1 hour is located below the 0 axis, bear volume is increasing.
RSI indicator
The 4-hour RSI indicator is currently in the normal trading range, with the dual lines descending corresponding to the range of 28 and 20.
The 1-hour RSI indicator is currently in the normal trading range with the double lines rising corresponding to the range of 27 and 20.
Conclusion: The market is falling.
Resistance levels: 125, 127, 129
Support levels; 123, 121, 118
Shorting Strategy: Around 127 for initial position
First take profit: 125 Second take profit: 123
Long strategy: Build position near 123
First take profit: 126 Second take profit: 128
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别当我財vip
ETH
On December 23, reflecting on yesterday, the overall trend was a volatile decline. Looking at the four-hour chart, it did not effectively stabilize above the short-term resistance level of ma30. The one-hour chart had several pullbacks without effectively breaking through ma5 and ma10, leading to a volatile decline.
The ETH 1-hour indicator shows that the Bollinger Bands open and close corresponds to the range of 2989-2919. The upward midline corresponds to a price of 2969, while the ETH corresponding price is 2962.
Moving Average Indicator. The MA5 and MA10 dual lines going upwards correspond to prices of 2955-2966. The 30-day moving average going down corresponds to a price of 2967. The 60-day moving average going down corresponds to a price of 2991, the 120-day moving average going up corresponds to a price of 2980, and the 240-day moving average going down corresponds to a price of 2973.
MACD: Located below the 0 axis. Bullish volume is gradually increasing, and the dual lines continue to trend upwards. The fast line has crossed above the slow line from below, forming a golden cross upwards.
RSI: 92-90. The dual lines are currently in a composite crossover and are in the overbought phase, but the dual lines have a downward trend.
Upper resistance levels: 2977-2997-3030 Lower support levels: 2929. 2882
ETH Direction: Currently, it is above the upper Bollinger Band on the one-hour chart and should touch the ma360 soon. From the four-hour perspective, it just touched the upper Bollinger Band and has pulled back. However, the current pullback isn't very strong, and it should continue to rise in the next four-hour period.
Summary:
High-altitude strategy: temporarily not available
Long position strategy: 2929 long position, 2882 add position
The first profit point at high altitude:
The first take profit point for the long position is 2977. The second is 3030.
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别当我財vip
#ETH
Upper resistance: 3060/3120/3180
Lower support: 2990/2960/2900
Warm reminder: Both resistance and support levels can serve as entry points (averaging down points)
Recommended trading strategies:
Long position strategy: If the rebound fails to establish a solid position around 3060, open a short position, with additional entries around 3180. Break above 3180 to confirm, then set stop-loss above 3180.
First take profit: 2990 / Second take profit: 2960
Long position on dips strategy: If the pullback does not break below 2990, establish a long position, with additional entries around 2900. Break below 2900 to confirm, then set stop-loss below 2900.
First take profit: 3060 / Second take profit: 3120
Bollinger Bands: The current 4-hour chart shows Bollinger Bands opening up, with the middle band trending horizontally upward, with three lines corresponding to prices 2884--2949--3013. The current hourly chart also shows Bollinger Bands opening up, with the middle band trending horizontally upward, with three lines corresponding to prices 2887--2966--3045.
The 4-hour chart shows a short-term MA5 upward trend. The market is currently trading above MA120. The market has broken below the Bollinger Bands and is retracing; the retracement has not broken below MA10 at 2962, indicating a second upward move. The hourly chart shows MA5 trending upward, with the market currently trading between MA5 and the upper band.
MACD Indicator: The 4-hour MACD lines are above the zero line, with the fast line crossing upward, indicating bullish momentum without signs of weakening. The 1-hour MACD lines are also above the zero line, with the fast line showing a potential reversal, and the bullish momentum histogram showing signs of weakening.
RSI Indicator: The RSI is currently in overbought territory, with a bullish crossover at prices 98--84.
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