CyrilDeFi

$TAO is doing what strong narrative coins do after a big cycle move.
It nuked excess, found real demand, and is now pushing into a defined breakout zone.
No chop, no chaos - just structure.
What stands out:
> Clear range
> Clean invalidation
Measured upside if it breaks
TAO doesn’t move often, but when it does, it moves fast. This looks like accumulation, not distribution.

$BTC.D - jan 4
This chart decides altseason — not the gurus on X
$BTC.D is stuck at resistance and losing momentum. If this level breaks down, history says capital rotates aggressively.
Important:
Altseason doesn’t start when BTC crashes.
It starts when BTC stops outperforming.
If BTC.D rolls here, ETH and alts don’t need permission anymore.
This is the line I’m watching most closely.

TOTAL3 (Crypto Market Cap ex BTC & ETH)
This is the quiet confirmation chart.
TOTAL3 has respected its rising trendline multiple times. Each bounce historically led to alt expansions.
What I see:
> Higher lows
> Compression near trend
> No panic selling
If TOTAL3 holds and breaks upward, that’s when mid and small caps wake up fast usually catching people underexposed.

Market Overview / Sentiment
This is the funniest part.
Fear & Greed isn’t euphoric.
Altcoin Season Index says “Bitcoin season.”
People are cautious.
That’s exactly when markets usually turn.
Altseasons don’t start when everyone agrees.
They start when positioning is wrong.

For those who didn't know but want to take content creation serious in 2026
Everyone talks about X monetization but what they won't tell you is...
If you have a TG gc you can also monetize it and make a bag
Thank me later ✍️
It's not much but honest work

$BTC Spot Inflow / Outflow
This one explains a lot of the chop.
You can see repeated exchange outflows, especially during dips.
That’s not panic selling that’s accumulation. Price hasn’t exploded yet because sellers are still active, but the supply leaving exchanges matters over time.
This looks like a market being slowly absorbed, not distributed at cycle highs.

$BTC (USD) – Macro Structure
BTC still looks like the leader, even with the pullback.
We put in a higher high, corrected into demand, and are now stabilizing.
As long as BTC holds this zone, I see this as continuation.
A break back above the previous highs flips the whole market risk-on again.
bullish on $BTC for 2026 can't deny that

$ETH (USD) – Long-Term View
This one is simple to me.
ETH reclaimed a major range and is now sitting just below the 2021 highs.
Markets don’t usually reject instantly at levels like this after years of building structure.
If ETH clears the previous ATH area, price discovery opens up.
The $8k–$10k region isn’t crazy anymore. It’s just math once momentum kicks in.

$ETH/BTC ( daily update )
This is one of the most important charts here.
ETH/BTC has been bleeding for a long time, but now it finally looks like it’s building a base instead of just falling.
We reclaimed a local range and are consolidating above support instead of making lower lows.
My read:
If ETH/BTC holds here and pushes into that upper supply zone, it usually means alts start waking up.
Not instantly, but rotation starts. ETH strength vs BTC is the first domino for alt seasons.

$TAO (Bittensor)
TAO is behaving like a strong narrative asset.
It bounced cleanly from demand and is now pushing into a clear breakout zone.
Volume previously expanded at highs, then cooled off classic reset behavior.
If price holds above the mid-range and breaks that upper level, TAO has room to move fast.
This is the kind of chart that doesn’t give many second chances once it goes.

$BTC.D ( daily update)
This chart is at a decision point.
BTC dominance has been grinding sideways after a strong run. If it breaks upward, BTC probably outperforms everything again and alts stay suppressed.
But if BTC.D loses this range, that’s historically when capital rotates into ETH and then alts.
The fact that it’s stalling here tells me the market is unsure — which usually happens right before a bigger move.

This chart is what 90% of CT is ignoring
If it plays out
Altseason will be the biggest we have ever seen
Bullish on altcoins ✍️
And all bears are gay btw