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Expectations for Bitcoin’s 2025 performance were quite high. However, due to the changing dynamics in the crypto market, this time the classic story did not unfold. Although Bitcoin rose to around $126,000 and reached a new high, sharp sell-offs in the last quarter caused the cryptocurrency to close the year about 6% in the red. This situation pits those expecting growth in 2026 against those who anticipate a continued weak trend under current conditions.

The cryptocurrency market generally solidified its consolidation outlook in the last month of the year. Especially from the second half of December, the market started to move within a narrower band as trading volumes declined. During this period, Bitcoin struggled to surpass $90,000 and continues to find support around the $86,000 region.
The overall picture in the ETH, SOL, and BNB markets, which dominate approximately 20% of the crypto market, shows that the correction phase following the peaks in the second half of 2025 has not yet ended. On the ETH side, although the price attempts to rec

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This week has seen developments that could influence Bitcoin's short- and medium-term outlook. The Fed's 25 basis point rate cut provides a backdrop that could support risk appetite, while the Bank of Japan's 25 basis point rate hike raises the cost of yen funding, creating a balance that could also impact risk markets. On the Fed side, the rate cut initially reinforces expectations of "easier financial conditions," potentially giving risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies some breathing room. However, for the market to turn this support into a sustained trend, inflation must continue to

Cryptocurrency's reactions to macroeconomic conditions have become highly unpredictable. When ADP reported an unexpected increase in private sector layoffs, the crypto market rose by 2%. Recent price movements of BTC have become so non-intuitive that many trusted experts, like Custodia Bank CEO Caitlin Long, suspect price manipulation.
Read more: Even Andrew Tate Believes Bitcoin Whales are Manipulating Prices
And now, despite a pause, Bitcoin hardly moved after the announcement. In this defense of the cryptocurrency, the interest rate decision was made in the context of a somewhat divided Fed

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With expectations regarding monetary policy in the global economy being reshaped, leading cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) started the week with strong gains. The strengthening expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement an interest rate cut at its December meeting have increased risk appetite in the market and supported the recovery trend in crypto assets.

He said he is optimistic about the economic outlook for the year, but that the US Federal Reserve ((Fed)) needs to cut interest rates due to slowdowns in some sectors. According to Bessent, the particularly weak situation in the housing market requires a more dovish stance in monetary policy.

Bitcoin has been subjected to a very intense flow of news throughout the week, both in terms of global macro pricing and the internal dynamics of the crypto market. The market, which rapidly repriced expectations for Fed interest rate cuts, faced a contradictory picture where ETF exits and entries on the institutional side were competing with each other. On the social media front, the sentiment that fell to extreme levels of fear combined with the search for a dip in the technical chart. This complex outlook has pushed Bitcoin into a search for equilibrium in the short term and a process of di

Bitcoin continues to be under pressure after reaching its lowest level in seven months.
Deutsche Bank analysts say that the sales reflect a combination of broader risk aversion and recent statements from Fed officials that raise doubts about a rate cut in December.
Analysts also indicate that the situation reflects a stalled regulatory momentum, institutional outflows, examined liquidity, and profit realization by long-term holders. "While volatility continues naturally, these conditions suggest that Bitcoin's portfolio integration is being tested, raising the question of whether this is a

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US stock futures stabilized on Friday after sharp losses earlier in the week. Meanwhile, Bitcoin fell to its lowest level in seven months. Attention also turned to Japan's stimulus package and the economic weakness in the UK ahead of next week's budget.

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