Ahao001

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4/27#XAU 4644 If it doesn’t break down, there won’t be a large-scale drop. If it gets close to around 4644, you can look for a low entry there. Today it rebounded again to around 4740. From what we can see now, this is a correction for the up move from 4100. After the correction ends, there will be another upward move of the same level, at 5020, or in other words 5120. Our observation points are 4644, and the red support zone below is around 4600. As long as this line doesn’t break, the correction can end at any time and the price can keep moving up. If it breaks below, it may turn into a deep
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4/27#BTC Short positions exit first, small losses cut!
The main force is very likely to move this way, only in this way can they lure more longs, then make people short, and finally break below the long stops before truly starting to rise. This kind of tactic is actually the healthiest trend before the main upward wave. In quantitative trading, it's called TWAP hidden accumulation. This slow, incremental step is the most torturous for retail investors. Because it doesn't surge dramatically, retail investors won't FOMO into chasing highs; at the same time, it occasionally pulls back with a bea
BTC-2,27%
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The short position next door has already entered, and there will be a big move next week. First target is 76,300.
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The resistance level above gold is at 4750. If the rebound fails, it will further decline. There is minor support at 4650. After breaking below, the final target is around 4580.
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4/24 #BTC Market Analysis
1. Blue route: Downward around 76913, 76660, 76356 are filled with long stop-loss positions, all these levels need to be taken out. Continuing upward, 79300-80100 are filled with short stop-losses. After the price rises, it will target these points to attack.
2. Red route: Watch point 76500, a break below may signal the end of the bullish trend, confirmed by a return to around 73500-72000.
BTC-2,27%
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April 23 #BTC走势分析
Be cautious of false breakout risks with Bitcoin; the current trend is a typical trap for retail investors, breaking through the key trend line, and the channel line creating a false impression of a bull market, which is actually a shakeout of short positions.
Yesterday's news stimulus caused a rally and a new high. Some say it's a bull return, while others ask why I am still shorting.
The presence of opposing voices indicates that some are pushing a fake rally to chase longs.
The market may start to genuinely decline now.
The first support level below is 76,500; a
BTC-2,27%
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Will Waller cut interest rates? We may have underestimated Waller's cunning!
Let me talk about a recent point that I personally find suspicious. That is, Waller's stance on rate cuts during the hearing, and the recent strength of the market. Why is it so strange?
First, who is Waller? A cunning flip-flopper! In the early years, Waller was a typical hawk at the Federal Reserve, consistently advocating against inflation and opposing excessive easing, with a generally tight policy stance. But since Trump nominated him to succeed as Fed Chair and he was expected to take office in mid-May, his publ
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Gold’s hearing last night triggered a sharp drop and a shakeout to wash out positions; then it surged again at 4 a.m. It’s clear that funds took on chips at the low end, and then pushed the move forward using this news. The lowest reached was the 4670 level. It directly mirrored the previous wave’s volume pattern: earlier, the selloff from 4857 to 4637 cut $220, and this time the drop from 4890 to 4670 cut $220 as well. In fact, the down-dip volume on those two occasions was even the same, indicating that the price control was taken to the extreme. Today, gold is watching support at 4644. If 4
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Suddenly I ran across a screenshot from 2020 of gold trading—gold at 1700. Back then, I was 20. I took the money I’d saved from working jobs and rushed into the financial markets. That year, I went through my girlfriend breaking up with me, a family member being hospitalized, and being liquidated in gold trading. I also had severe insomnia. I honestly didn’t know how I was going to get through it. Over the past six years, I learned countless techniques, but in the end I realized that technical skills don’t really matter that much. This market is driven by emotions. Opening a trade is like a sw
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4/22 BTC Market Analysis
Everyone across the entire network is bearish on BTC. The shorts are getting squeezed—there are far too many people who are stuck in the mindset of “marking the boat and seeking the sword.” The chart/price action can’t keep falling. In the short term, it will definitely push up again. Everyone—get ready: if there’s a pullback, go long directly on the retest! It’s possible it won’t pull back much. They’re afraid retail investors will react. Put your stop-loss below 73000.
BTC-2,27%
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The ceasefire deadline is approaching in the past two days, and the US-Iran mouse trap is about to strike.
Ceasefire opens the Strait of Hormuz, BTC and gold rise, crude oil falls.
Conflict escalates, BTC and gold fall, crude oil rises.
If you see the news immediately, you can go long or short, but be sure to take profits; the market won't continue. If you don't see it right away, don't operate at all.
BTC-2,27%
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Don't short just because a clone has gone up a lot; you'll avoid TRB and RAVE.
Don't go long just because a clone has dropped a lot; you'll avoid LUNA and FTT.
If you want to pursue trading, focus more on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, gold, silver, and less on altcoins and crude oil.
Some things can only be understood through personal experience.
TRB-2,9%
RAVE-1,27%
LUNA-1,05%
FTT-0,03%
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I drank too much today, so let’s chat casually! Brothers in the square, don’t keep playing knockoffs anymore. That’s because everyone who plays knockoffs is just a leek—one by one. I’m telling you: don’t come at me with how much you made in the short term. In the end, there’s only one outcome: liquidation. Because I personally suffered a huge, huge loss from this.
Knockoffs are like offline, single-player (single-device) games. Just like this “rave”—how are you supposed to play with a dog庄? Remember: this money shouldn’t be yours to earn. In the crypto world, learn to not earn money you should
BTC-2,27%
ETH-3,51%
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Because the 73,500 level has been tested too many times, if the orders here retreat, it will be very easy to break below. Still cannot chase long here, find some shorting ideas. The orders to short around 77,000 from a few days ago are still holding. If it breaks the previous high, continue adding short positions between 78-81! It’s very likely to form a double top followed by a big waterfall.
Support and resistance levels
Resistance: 77,000, 78,000-81,000
Support: 73,500, 70,500
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BTC is perfectly following my expectations from a couple of days ago. When they called for a bull run, I was already bearish and saw the top coming. The recent rebound is the best opportunity to short. Once the downward trend begins, the next decline will at least bring it near 70,000.
BTC-2,27%
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The “big pie” (i.e., BTC) is meeting expectations and has already entered the red pressure level. I’ve already opened a personal short position. There’s a relatively high probability that it will continue to range-bound over the weekend. The direction will likely become clear next Monday. The current situation looks very similar to the weekend altcoin scenarios that have happened multiple times before: after a series of coordinated pumps, retail traders are very easy to get carried away, and once they’re trapped, they’re more likely to keep holding—leading to trouble. Stay alert, and have prot
BTC-2,27%
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Are the teachers all watching 80k again?
If the big coin hits 80k, I’ll delete Twitter and take out 1,000 USDT
No nonsense—give me everything you’ve got to short it hard from 7.6 to 7.8
Anyone calling for a bull run now will be directly blocked
BTC-2,27%
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Big Pie intraday support is 73,500 and 72,000, with resistance at 76,000
This is just a rebound in a bear market—don’t get overly excited. The rise is only for a better fall. Continue adding some short positions at the upper resistance levels of 78,000-81,000. 80,000 is the 0.31 resistance level on the weekly logarithmic scale—an extremely strong resistance level.
The bulls will start calling for a bull return, and the FOMO atmosphere will spread. The big test is here! As always, manage your risk well—live to the end, and you’ll be the one laughing last!
BTC-2,27%
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On April 15th, Bitcoin at 72,000 still has upward momentum as it hasn't fallen below that level. There are too many bears; a rise of two or three thousand points can take out a lot of bearish liquidity. It will only start a smooth decline when bears dare not short anymore. This week and next week, the main players will continuously accumulate liquidity below through various means until they can support the next wave of decline. This is just a rebound in a bear market. The resistance zone above at 78,000-81,000 is a very good point to open a short position.
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Rave Conspiracy Theory
Ordinary small traders wouldn't do something like this
There must be a big conspiracy behind it
Since they've started, it won't end so quickly
It reminds me of trb—up by a hundredfold
Then it breaks out of the circle to attract new retail investors to enter
This wave of killing one and chasing longs may still continue to rise
RAVE-1,27%
TRB-2,9%
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