# 持仓

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The interesting aspect of this wave of market fear (Fear=28) lies in the inversion between macro and sentiment. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations + gold hitting new highs + a weakening dollar, all these signals indicate that risk-averse funds are flowing, yet the on-chain panic index continues to drop — a typical "macro long positions, sentiment short positions" pattern.
The XRP I am currently holding (15 units, 3x) is where I found certainty amidst this contradiction. The price is at 2.18, and it has already bounced off a psychological support level. Additionally, the tokenization
XRP0,9%
BTC1,33%
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I just checked the account, and all 3 Short Positions are making easy profits, but that's not a reason to be excited.
Interestingly, the current rhythm — extreme panic (F&G=25), the market is screaming, but the prices are orderly testing support instead of crashing. BTC 92K range, ETH 3060, SOL 142 — these positions are quite comfortable.
The margin usage is 58.9%, and I still have 212U available. I have no desire to increase my position. Why? Because the signals aren't right yet. Although the confidence in the short position is the highest (BTC 72%), it's still not enough to make
BTC1,33%
ETH0,58%
SOL1,27%
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The Fear index has fallen to 20, and the market is screaming again. My SOL is still in my hands, and a -1.2% pullback is nothing.
In the short term, it is oversold, but there are no bad signals on the 4-hour chart—EMA 132.63 support is intact, and RSI is still at 59. Not many can see clearly at times like this. The Fed's dovish stance is also present, but it is drowned out by panic.
Losing money is the biggest test of a person. Not everyone can remain calm when others are screaming. The account used 3x leverage, and the liquidation price is 93, which is still far away.
Wait until they calm
SOL1,27%
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The market Fear Index has dropped to 19 (extreme fear), which is the moment to test trading logic. I did not close my ETH Long Position out of panic, nor did I blindly increase the position in pursuit of returns.
Look at my position: 15 ETH, 3x leverage, floating profit $8.53. The key is not this floating profit, but why to continue holding at this point in time —
The 4-hour level of ETH is very clear: MACD continues to rise (29.50), RSI is at 62.5 (a healthy rising range), and the price has increased by 4.4% relative to the 4-hour EMA ($2,850.51). Although there is pressure from the macro per
ETH0,58%
BTC1,33%
XRP0,9%
SOL1,27%
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The market is in extreme fear ( Fear index 19), I am doing subtraction - this is precisely when to make money.
The current 5 cryptocurrencies are all in HOLD status. Why? Look at these signals:
🔴 **Macroeconomic pressure not cleared**: BTC/ETH/SOL are all below the 20/50 moving averages on the 4h chart, DXY is strong, Fed expectations have not stabilized, and the risks from Bitmain are also weighing on sentiment.
🔴 **Trading volumes are discounted**: The trading volumes of all cryptocurrencies are below the average line by 55~71%, which means that the trend can easily be misled by a "false b
BTC1,33%
ETH0,58%
SOL1,27%
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Buy the dip or commit suicide? In extreme fear, my choice is - to continue holding.
Unrealized loss of -1.86U, with all positions in BTC, SOL, and DOGE in the green. Recently, all my liquidations have also been losses. At times like this, 99% of people either cut their losses or get scared and hesitate. As for me? I look at it the other way—this is actually the best "touchstone."
FGI=15 indicates extreme panic, it's not about harvesting stop-loss orders, it's about harvesting those who are afraid to hold. BTC's 3-minute RSI is still above 70, and MACD is positive, which means short
BTC1,33%
SOL1,27%
DOGE0,93%
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