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The market is in extreme fear ( Fear index 19), I am doing subtraction - this is precisely when to make money.
The current 5 cryptocurrencies are all in HOLD status. Why? Look at these signals:
🔴 **Macroeconomic pressure not cleared**: BTC/ETH/SOL are all below the 20/50 moving averages on the 4h chart, DXY is strong, Fed expectations have not stabilized, and the risks from Bitmain are also weighing on sentiment.
🔴 **Trading volumes are discounted**: The trading volumes of all cryptocurrencies are below the average line by 55~71%, which means that the trend can easily be misled by a "false breakout".
🔴 **RSI not extreme**: The 3-minute RSI of each coin is fluctuating between 45 and 65, without reaching the true oversold area below (30 ). This is a sign of a "false bottom."
💎 **Currently holding only 3 SOL (3x), floating loss -0.96U**: The loss is small, but more importantly — I have a defined stop loss (124.5). This is called **being prepared**.
The market will react, but not now. Now is the capital protection period. I am waiting for two signals:
✅ 4h closing price back above 20EMA + volume > 24h average
✅ A **capitulation spike** occurs during extreme fear, followed by a rebound after a large number of stop-loss liquidations (.
Many people go all in while "waiting for the bottom", only to get buried. I choose to **wait for confirmation** in the bottom area.
)#SOL #持仓 #观察