Something very serious just happened in the silver market and almost nobody is paying attention.



This is not about normal supply and demand.

This is about derivatives, leverage, and system stress.

A major global bank, one of the biggest players in the silver futures market, reportedly failed to meet a margin call on its silver positions.

That position was then liquidated.

This is a big deal.

This bank is not a small trader.
It is one of the largest players in precious metal derivatives.

When a player this large fails a margin call, it means stress inside the system, not just a bad trade.

Right after this happened, the Federal Reserve stepped in.

The Fed added liquidity through repo operations, on top of an earlier injection of around $17 billion, to stabilize the system and prevent further damage.

This was not done for silver traders.
It was done to protect the financial plumbing.

Then came the next move.

The CME raised margin requirements on silver futures.

Initial margin jumped from roughly $22,000 to $25,000 per contract.

That makes it more expensive to hold leveraged silver positions.

This matters because margin hikes force selling.

When margins rise:
• Traders must post more collateral
• Leveraged players reduce or close positions
• Selling pressure increases

This is not new.

In 1980 and 2011, silver hit major tops right after CME aggressively raised margins.

Those hikes triggered mass liquidation of long positions and ended parabolic rallies.

The current margin hike is small so far.
But the pattern is familiar.

Now look at the bigger problem.

The paper silver market and the physical silver market are completely disconnected.

For every 1 ounce of physical silver, there are roughly 350 ounces of paper claims tied to futures and derivatives.

There is no way all those claims could ever be settled with real metal.

This extreme leverage allows large institutions to push prices using paper, without needing real silver.

That is why manipulation is possible.

If silver prices were allowed to rise freely:
• More people would demand physical delivery
• The shortage would become obvious
• Confidence in the paper market would break

So instead, prices are pushed down.

When silver falls:
• Retail interest disappears
• Attention moves elsewhere
• Pressure on physical delivery drops

This helps big players manage risk quietly.

The risk now is what comes next.

If silver breaks higher again and CME responds with more aggressive margin hikes, history suggests a possible blow off top.

That would look like:
• A fast, parabolic move up
• Extreme public interest
• Rapid margin hikes
• Violent liquidation
• A long term top

This is exactly what happened in past cycles.

And here is where crypto comes in.

If silver goes through a blow-off and then cools down, capital does not disappear.

It looks for the next market.

Historically, when one hard asset trade ends, liquidity rotates.

That rotation could benefit Bitcoin and altcoins, especially if silver speculation peaks and attention shifts.
BTC-2,92%
post-image
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)