Why does Robert Kiyosaki, author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," insist on a Bitcoin target price of $1 million?

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《富爸爸窮爸爸》作者清崎為何堅持比特幣100萬美元目標價

“Rich Dad Poor Dad” author Robert Kiyosaki ignores price fluctuations and continues to buy BTC and ETH, believing that the $38.4 trillion in national debt and the declining purchasing power of the dollar are key factors. He views BTC as “digital gold” to counter currency dilution, with a target price of $1 million.

Kiyosaki ignores BTC volatility and focuses on the collapse of dollar purchasing power

Bitcoin’s trading price approaches $87,700, down about 1% for the day, but Robert Kiyosaki is not affected by short-term price fluctuations. The author of “Rich Dad Poor Dad” states that regardless of price swings, he will keep buying Bitcoin and Ethereum, as he considers the overall direction of the global financial system more important than the price. In a recent X post, Kiyosaki pointed out two major factors influencing his strategy: the continuously rising US national debt (currently over $38.4 trillion) and the ongoing decline in dollar purchasing power. To him, daily price fluctuations are just distractions.

Kiyosaki wrote in a tweet: “Q: Do I care about the rise and fall of gold, silver, or Bitcoin prices? A: No. I don’t care. Q: Why? A: Because I know US debt keeps climbing, and the dollar’s purchasing power keeps falling. Q: Why worry about gold and silver prices?” This line of reasoning is very clear: when the fiat system inevitably depreciates due to debt expansion, holding assets with a fixed supply is a rational hedge, and short-term price fluctuations are just noise.

As debt expansion and deficits deepen, the importance of scarce assets becomes more prominent. As he candidly points out, he is not worried about market volatility because “US debt continues to rise, and dollar purchasing power continues to decline.” This logic explains why Kiyosaki groups Bitcoin with gold and silver, often calling Bitcoin “digital gold.” Although he has long favored physical metals, he now sees Bitcoin and Ethereum as modern extensions to counter currency dilution. He remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, believing it could reach $1 million in the coming years or a decade.

The $38.4 trillion US debt scale is indeed staggering. This figure is about 120% of US GDP and continues to grow rapidly. Paying interest on the national debt alone costs hundreds of billions of dollars annually, funded by taxes or new bond issuance. This “borrowing new debt to pay old debt” model could theoretically be sustainable forever, provided market confidence in the dollar remains intact. Kiyosaki questions this premise—when debt reaches a certain critical point, markets could suddenly lose confidence, triggering a dollar crisis.

Kiyosaki sees BTC as a modern tool to counter currency dilution

This view aligns with broader investor trends. As inflationary pressures, rising interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainties persist, capital increasingly flows into assets outside traditional financial systems. Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins, with over 19.98 million in circulation, continues to attract investors who see scarcity as a hedge rather than speculation. Kiyosaki’s stance reflects his deep skepticism of traditional financial authorities. He has repeatedly criticized institutions like the Federal Reserve and US Treasury, believing their policies foster debt growth rather than long-term stability.

Kiyosaki’s investment philosophy centers on the distinction between “assets vs liabilities.” In “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” he defines assets as “things that put money in your pocket,” and liabilities as “things that take money out of your pocket.” From this perspective, the continuous depreciation of the dollar and other fiat currencies due to inflation are liabilities that “take money out of your pocket.” Conversely, Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, is not subject to dilution from government money printing and is a true asset.

This view of placing Bitcoin alongside gold and silver is increasingly common in the investment community. Traditionally, gold has been seen as the ultimate hedge against fiat depreciation. But physical gold entails storage, transportation, and verification costs. Bitcoin, as a digital asset, can be transferred instantly anywhere in the world, stored at nearly zero cost, and its authenticity is guaranteed via blockchain technology. These advantages have led to its characterization as “Gold 2.0” or “Digital Gold.” While Kiyosaki still holds physical gold and silver, he also considers Bitcoin a core holding to combat fiat devaluation.

A Bitcoin target of $1 million sounds extreme, but Kiyosaki’s logic is: if the dollar continues to depreciate, Bitcoin’s fiat price will naturally rise. This isn’t because Bitcoin itself becomes more valuable, but because the measuring stick (the dollar) becomes less valuable. From this perspective, “Bitcoin reaching $1 million” is essentially a statement that “the dollar has depreciated enough that it takes $1 million to buy one Bitcoin.”

Technical analysis: consolidation at 86,000-88,000 may lead to rebound

While Bitcoin’s long-term trend remains solid, its short-term chart is at a critical juncture. After retreating from the $95,500 to $96,000 zone, Bitcoin is now consolidating between $86,000 and $88,000, an area where multiple technical indicators converge. On the 4-hour chart, the price is approaching the lower boundary of a descending wedge, but still protected by the long-term upward support line guiding the overall bullish trend since late 2025. Recent candles near $86,100 show longer lower shadows, indicating buying on dips rather than forced selling.

Momentum remains weak, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around 39-40 but beginning to turn higher. If the price can hold above $88,000, it may target $90,700 and $93,300, with a possible retest of $95,500. Falling below $86,000 would delay the rebound and could lead to a drop toward $84,300, but the overall structure would remain intact.

A descending wedge is a bullish continuation pattern, often appearing during a correction in an uptrend. When the price consolidates within the wedge, selling pressure diminishes and buying interest accumulates. A breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary typically results in a rapid rally. The current wedge pattern has been consolidating for several weeks and could break out at any time. Confirmation would be stronger if RSI rises and volume increases during the breakout.

Why is the $86,000 support so critical? From a technical perspective, this level is a confluence of multiple factors: the long-term upward trendline, the lower boundary of the descending wedge, and the lower edge of previous consolidation zones. This confluence makes $86,000 a very strong support level. The long lower shadow candles around $86,100 further confirm this support—prices briefly dipped below but quickly recovered, showing active buying at this level.

Overall, Kiyosaki’s long-term conviction and the strengthening technical fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest the market is in a consolidation phase rather than a top. For investors not swayed by short-term volatility, this consolidation may be a quiet pause before the next expansion. Kiyosaki’s strategy offers a framework for ordinary investors: focus on macro trends rather than daily fluctuations, view Bitcoin as a long-term asset allocation rather than a short-term trading tool.

Kiyosaki’s investment framework summary

Macro logic: $38.4 trillion national debt and declining dollar purchasing power

Asset classification: BTC, gold, silver as tools against fiat depreciation

Price attitude: Unconcerned with short-term volatility, focus on long-term value

Target price: $1 million in the coming years or a decade

Buying strategy: Continue buying regardless of price, dollar-cost averaging

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