🇯🇵 Japan Raises Interest Rates – Why Bitcoin Often "Dumps" Hard Every time BOJ ( the Bank of Japan ) raises interest rates → BTC usually drops 20-30%+. Recent history: - 03/2024: -23% - 07/2024: -26% - 01/2025: -31% Not a coincidence – but **capital flow**! 🧠 **CORE: Yen Carry Trade** Japan has kept ultra-low ( even negative ) interest rates for over 30 years → Yen becomes the "cheapest money" in the world. Major funds: - Borrow Yen at low interest - Convert to USD - Invest in risky assets: US stocks, Crypto (BTC, ETH...) When BOJ raises interest rates: - Yen borrowing becomes more expensive - Funds must repay loans → Sell assets - Crypto sold first: High liquidity, volatile! 📉 **BTC & Altcoins Take the Hit** BTC drops 20-30% → Altcoins often dump 40-70% ( higher risk, lower liquidity ). Currently (12/2025): The market fears BOJ will hike again to ~0.75% ( on 18-19/12). Many analysts predict BTC might test $70k if the pattern repeats. 🔥 **ADVANTAGE FOR MACRO-INSIGHTFUL TRADERS** - Risk mitigation: Take profits early, hold stablecoins waiting for dips - Buy the dip: Increase BTC holdings long-term - No panic selling! Bitcoin remains the "digital gold" of decentralization – but its price is sensitive to global liquidity. 💬 **Do you think this time BOJ hike will cause BTC to dump how much %? Or is it already priced in? Comment below!** 🚀 #Bitcoin #BOJ #YenCarryTrade #CryptoVimô $ETH $BTC $BTC

Real Trading Record: Hundredfold Challenge Starting November 25th, 500u challenge to reach 50,000u! Today’s balance: 1876u, yesterday’s loss: 628u! I apologize for the loss yesterday; I feel bad for leading everyone into a loss! This loss was truly unnecessary! The main reasons are as follows: 1. On Friday and Saturday, the market declined multiple times to around 3030-3050. I didn’t dare to buy in, expecting a break below 3000, but it didn’t break and the rebound was quite strong. 2. During the day yesterday, ETH was very strong, and Bitcoin reached a support level again, so I looked for a pullback to buy more long positions. But as soon as I bought at 3000, it broke! 3. I didn’t set proper stop-losses. Logically, once 3000 broke, I should have cut losses and watched. The reason I didn’t stop out was because Bitcoin was at the 87000 support level, and I thought it would hold and bounce back! 4. When adding positions, I thought it through, but when the situation turned bad, I added more, and then I received a call and had to leave immediately, missing the chance to cut losses! 5. Yesterday, I also set a stop-loss at 2899 in advance. I wouldn’t hold on stubbornly forever. My money is my money; I feel distressed when I lose. I can accept a single loss of up to 25%. Mistakes happen; just look for opportunities to recover. Taking losses is normal, but stop-loss is for survival! Last week, I opened positions too small and was too cautious, which caused many followers with over 100u to fall behind. Moving forward, I will return to normal position sizes: ETH 2-5 units, Bitcoin 0.03-0.1 units. I will choose good entry points and broaden my perspective to strive for early recovery and portfolio rebound! Once again, I apologize to everyone. Sorry for causing you losses!

#美联储降息 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Data Is Here — Could This Wave in the Crypto Market Turn Around? Tonight, the U.S. November non-farm employment data will be released, and this report is unusually significant. After a 43-day government shutdown, this is the first employment report, and the market is eager to see the true state of the U.S. labor market. Why is the market so nervous? Jerome Powell has already given signals — the unemployment rate could rise to 4.5%, and new jobs might even turn negative. What does this mean for the crypto market? **Two Extreme Scenarios** If the data is weak, the market will fiercely bet on the Fed cutting interest rates, triggering a surge in global liquidity expectations, and $BTC could see an 8% increase in a single day. Conversely, if the data exceeds expectations with strong numbers, the hopes for rate cuts will be completely dashed, the dollar will appreciate sharply, and the crypto market could face a deep correction, potentially triggering large-scale liquidations. This is essentially a high-stakes gamble on the Fed’s policy. **Current Market Outlook** Bitcoin just broke through $86,000, hitting a new high in two weeks, but it has already fallen about 30% from its early October all-time high. In the short term, there’s demand for a rebound from oversold levels, but the upward momentum is clearly weak, lacking strong support. **Suggested Trading Strategy** • $BTC: Consider going long in the $85,000–$85,500 range, targeting around $88,000 • $ETH: Enter long positions between $2,880–$2,900, aiming for a breakthrough to $3,000 However, the uncertainty surrounding the non-farm payroll data is high, so risk management is more important than prediction.