Check out the election results here! Does Trump claim that winning Pennsylvania means winning? He Jinli is catching up urgently

The swing state is the key to victory or defeat, with Trump temporarily in the lead.

The 2024 U.S. presidential election is in full swing. According to the latest statistics from Bloomberg, as of 12:00 noon on the 6th Taipei time, Republican candidate Trump has won 214 electoral votes, while Democratic candidate Harris has secured 179. In this election, a candidate needs to obtain more than half of the 270 electoral votes to enter the White House.

Source: Bloomberg. Real-time vote counting for the US presidential election. Trump leads with 210 votes, while Biden has 113 votes.

From the beginning of the election, Trump has maintained a lead in several important states. According to Bloomberg's statistics, Trump has won Indiana, West Virginia, Florida, Tennessee, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Alabama, and Arkansas. Hillary Clinton has won Vermont, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New York, New Jersey, and California.

It is worth noting that in the key swing state of Georgia, Trump has gained a leading advantage. The outcome of this election will depend on the results of the traditional 'Blue Wall states' such as Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, etc. Analysis suggests that the voting patterns in these states will be a key indicator of this election.

Battle of Pennsylvania: Can Trump win in one fell swoop?

Observing the current situation of the battle, Trump needs to win at least one of the three states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to ensure victory; while for Biden, he must win all three states to have a chance to make a comeback. The Trump campaign chose Vance as his deputy, and one of the important considerations was to enhance the chances of winning in these blue wall states.

This strategy is in stark contrast to the 2020 election, when Biden successfully won Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and one district in Nebraska, ultimately winning the presidency. Today, these states have once again become battlegrounds, and the development of the election situation affects the direction of the entire election.

The re-election of the Congress affects the difficulty of policy implementation.

In addition to the presidential election, this congressional election is also being closely followed. In the Senate, the Republican Party has won 48 seats, while the Democratic Party has 39 seats, just 3 seats short of a majority for the Republican Party. In the battle for the 435 seats in the House of Representatives, as of 11:00 AM Taipei time on the 6th, the Republican Party is temporarily leading with 155 seats, compared to the Democratic Party's 101 seats.

Image Source: Bloomberg The US election is in progress, with Republicans currently leading Democrats in both the Senate and the House of Representatives.

According to Reuters, the election results will significantly affect the new president's ease of implementing policies until the next congressional election in 2026. The Democratic Party currently holds 51 seats in the Senate (47 Democrats, 4 independents who caucus with Democrats), giving them a slim majority over the Republicans' 49 seats. However, the Republicans only need to win 2 more seats to take control of the Senate, prompting the Democratic Party to do everything in its power to retain control of the Senate.

In the case of the House of Representatives, the situation is the opposite. Currently, the Republican Party maintains a slight advantage with 220 seats to 212 seats, but the Democratic Party only needs to win 4 more seats to have a chance of regaining control of the House. Erin Covey, a House election analyst for the non-partisan website Cook Political Report, said that the race is very close and voters do not have a clear preference for either party.

The election is tight, and the final result may be delayed

As the United States adopts the 'electoral vote' system, there are a total of 538 electoral votes nationwide. Bloomberg took a cautious approach to the statistics, only announcing the results when the votes were sufficient or had an overwhelming advantage. In this election, although nearly 2,000 constituencies had only one candidate, there were still about 4,500 elections with competitors.

"Bloomberg" will consider multiple factors and data when announcing the result, including the voter and non-voter surveys of AP VoteCast. If the survey results deviate from the long-term political trends and voting history of that state, Bloomberg will not be the first to announce the result at the end of the vote, which also means that the final results of some key states may need more time to confirm.

The market responded enthusiastically, with BTC and US stocks rising.

Despite the variable election situation, the financial market has responded positively. The four major US stock indices rose across the board on the 5th:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 427.28 points or 1.02%, closing at 42,221.88 points;

The S&P 500 rose 70.07 points or 1.23%, closing at 5,782.76 points;

The NASDAQ index rose 259.19 points or 1.43%, closing at 18,439.17 points;

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 83.84 points or 1.69% to close at 5,057.83 points.

The encryption market has performed well, with BTC experiencing a big pump to $75,000, once again breaking new historical highs. (At the time of completion, the BTC price is $74,275) Analysts pointed out that if Trump and the Republican Party win by a large margin, it may further stimulate the appreciation of the US dollar and bond yields due to their tax reduction policies and trade tariff plans.

Image source: TradingView BTC breaks new highs, reaching $75,000.

Asian stock markets have also been affected by the US election. The stock markets in Tokyo, Sydney, Shanghai, Seoul, Singapore, Wellington, and Taipei all showed a rising trend in early trading, except for the Hong Kong stock market, which fell. In the forex market, major currencies such as the US dollar against the Japanese yen, the British pound, and the euro have all risen, indicating that investors are optimistic about the economic and political prospects of the United States.

[Disclaimer] The market is risky, and investment should be cautious. This article does not constitute investment advice, and users should consider whether any opinions, perspectives, or conclusions in this article are consistent with their specific circumstances. Investment based on this is at your own risk.