The first vote of the US election! Midnight voting in the small town: Trump and Harris tied at 3-3.

The US presidential election officially kicked off at midnight local time on the 5th, and 6 registered voters in the New Hampshire village of Dixville Pass voted 3 to 3, allowing Republican candidate Trump and Democratic candidate He Jinli to tie in the first battle of the election. (Synopsis: The US presidential election 4 script deduction" is the happiest for investors; If Trump fights a legal battle, the market is afraid to fall) (Background added: Wall Street predator Bernstein: No matter who is elected president of the United States, BTC will exceed $200,000 in 2025) Dixvile Notch, a village in New Hampshire, USA, began voting at 12 a.m. local time on November 5 and has completed the counting of votes. A total of 6 voters registered to vote, and Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris tied 3 votes to 3, kicking off the 60th US presidential election. Because tickets are issued hours earlier than elsewhere, the town has also become the focus of the national media, and even the number of visiting journalists exceeds the number of voters; However, the voting results in the region over the years are not very informative about the election. Source: Associated Press Internet celebrity hippopotamus Moodeng predicts Trump's election In the pre-election polls, the support of the two sides has been in a state of stalemate, and the market's views on who will be elected are not consistent. In this regard, according to foreign media reports, MooDeng, the Internet celebrity hippopotamus of Thailand's Khao Kheow Open Zoo, chose to eat watermelon engraved with Trump's name in yesterday's (4) watermelon forecast, seemingly predicting that Trump will be elected president of the United States. Although MooDeng does not have predictive ability, his prediction of eating watermelon also adds a bit of entertainment to the tense presidential election. Musk: Trump will win 500,000 votes in Pennsylvania The swing state of Pennsylvania is a must for candidates on both sides. Musk, Trump's number one supporter and TSL CEO, also actively traveled around Pennsylvania to build momentum for Trump before the election. In addition, Musk also threw $16 million in Pennsylvania to hold a lottery, which once caused a judicial dispute. In addition, for this election, Musk also tweeted today (5) to use data analysis to analyze the swing state battle situation, he said that Trump is expected to win in Pennsylvania by 500,000 votes: According to the current statistics of swing state early voting data, the following is the early voting gap between Republicans and Democrats (R minus D): Republicans usually have a higher turnout rate than Democrats on polling day, so states that favor Republicans in early voting are likely to eventually choose to support Trump. Pennsylvania, while currently leaning toward the Democratic Party in early voting, had an extremely high turnout on polling day. If Trump had cast the same number of votes that day as in the previous term, he could have won by about 500,000 votes, even to the point of a landslide victory. Below are the R minus D early vote deltas in swing states before tomorrow. Republican turnout on election day is usually much higher than Democrat, so any state currently leaning R in early voting is very likely to side with Trump. Pennsylvania, while still leaning D, has a… pic.twitter.com/1RziVhte02 — Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 5, 2024 S&P Index Predicts Presidential Candidate On the other hand, according to previous reports in the Dynamic Zone, according to data from independent broker-dealer LPL Financial, in the past 24 (1928-2020) US presidential elections, the S&P 500 index accurately predicted 20 times, with an accuracy rate of 83.3% In this regard, Adam Turnquis, chief technical strategy officer at LPL Financial, also explained the S&P 500 forecast: The S&P 500 is an effective predictor of U.S. presidential election results. The index tracks the stock performance of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States, and past data has shown that if the index rises within the first three months of the election, usually the candidate of the incumbent party wins; If the index falls, the incumbent party usually loses the right to govern. From the current data, the S&P 500 index is on the rise from 3 months ago, and according to past indicators, He Jinli is likely to win. However, the current market economy is different from the economic context of previous elections, and many analysts are beginning to doubt the predictive power of the S&P 500. Related reports US election "CFTC eyeing election prediction platform Polymarket, will learn from Taiwan to catch gamblers and block domains? The Prime Minister of Japan will be replaced! Fumio Kishida withdrew from the LDP election, Japanese stocks suddenly turned around, who is the successor? Arthur Hayes: I'm more bullish on Solana than ETH, the election result is not important, "Fed rate cut" is the key "First vote in the US election!" Midnight voting in a small town: Trump and He Jinli tied 3-3" This article was first published in BlockTempo's "Dynamic Trend - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".