How did the S&P 500 and Bitcoin perform in the past ten elections in the United States?

Looking back at the past US election year, in November and December after the election results, both US stocks and BTC have a high probability of closing up, is this also a good opportunity for investors to lie in ambush? (Synopsis: Node, bipartisan economic policy, and follow-up market impact at the critical time of the US election) (Background supplement: Will BTC hit a new high after the US election? How to maximize gains in a high volatility market) The globally followed U.S. presidential election is about to be officially voted on November 6, Taiwan time, but due to the different economic, military and other policies that the Republican Party and the Democratic Party may bring, the election results also affect the hearts of global investors, and people are speculating about what impact the U.S. election will have on stocks, BTC and other assets? Against this background, this article will sort out the performance of the S&P 500 index and BTC after the results of the past US election to provide investors with some reference data. S&P 500 As one of the four major indices of U.S. stocks, the S&P 500 has recorded the performance of the U.S. stock market since 1957, covering the total market capitalization of about 80% of publicly traded companies in the United States. After statistics, after the results of the past ten US presidential elections, the S&P 500 index performed in November and December of that year: 1984: Rise 3.5% in November, 2% rise in December 1988: Rise 2% in November, 1.5% rise in December 1992: Rise 1% in November, 1.2% rise in December 1996: 2.5% rise in November, 1.8% rise in December 2000: 8% rise in November, 0.4% rise in December 2004: 3.5% rise in November, 3.2% rise in December 2008: 7.5% rise in November, 1% rise in December 2012: 0.3% rise in November, 0.7% rise in December 2016: 3.4% rise in November, 1.8% rise in December 2020: 10.8% rise in November, 1.8% rise in December 2020: 10.8% rise in November, It can be seen from the rise of 3.7% in December that the S&P 500 index has only fallen in November 2000 and 2008 after the results of the past 10 US elections, and the probability of closing in November reached 80%; And in December, the S&P 500 had a 100% chance of closing in an election year. As for the decline in 2000 and 2008, it was due to unusual fluctuations caused by specific economic events, because in 2000 and 2008, there was a network economy bubble and a global financial crisis, respectively. Although the United States has repeatedly reiterated that it will achieve a soft landing this time, it is still unknown whether it will survive safely in the long run. BTC According to Coinank data, in the past decade, BTC has performed in November and December of the two election years: 2020: 42.95% rise in November, 46.92% rise in December 2016: 5.42% rise in November and 30.8% rise in December It can be seen that BTC has a 100% chance of closing in November and December of that year after the results of the last two elections. And it can almost be said to be the month with the highest rise of the year. Based on the above data, it can be seen that BTC and US stocks often rise in the US election year with the release of election results; However, it is worth noting that history does not simply repeat itself, and investors should still be cautious at this time, and should not rely too much on historical data and increase leverage. BTC market share hits a new high in the past two years It is worth mentioning that according to TradingView data, BTC market share (BTC. D) has now reached 60%, an all-time high since 2021. Looking back at history, when the BTC market accounts for more than 50%, it means that BTC's dominance in the overall encryption coin market is stronger, which may be a signal of the early stage of the Bull Market or the intensification of risk aversion in the market; When the market share of BTC gradually declines from a high level, and the price pulls back, it may mean that funds will overflow from BTC, triggering an outbreak of AltCoin. BTC market proportion Related reports BTC fell below $69,000 again! Trump trading profitable? Election, Fed interest rate decision next week hit the world's most monster stocks! Indian small-cap stocks "soared 6692635% in a single day", but still can't win BTC Weekly report: BTC long-short battle, high yield rise US stocks all fall, CZ Dubai highlight speech.. After the past ten elections, how has the US stock S&P 500 and BTC historically performed? This article was first published in BlockTempo "Dynamic Trend - The Most Influential Block Chain News Media".