Based on the latest market dynamics as of April 28, 2025, and the real-time market data of Ethereum (ETH), combined with technical analysis and on-chain data, the following trading strategy is formulated.

Core strategy and points
1. Breakthrough Long Position
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes above $1,820 (April 27 high), with a 1-hour close confirmation of a valid breakout, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate recovers to above 0.019.
- Target: Looking towards $1,850-$1,880 in the short term (upper band of the weekly Bollinger Bands), and if it breaks through, aiming for $1,900.
- Stop-loss: dynamically move up to just below $1,800 to protect profits.
2. Buy on rebound at support level
- Entry conditions: Price stabilizes in the range of $1,770-$1,790 (4-hour EMA30 support), combined with RSI oversold (<30) or bullish divergence signals.
- Target: Bounce to $1,820-$1,840, take profit in batches after breaking through.
- Stop Loss: Strictly set below $1,750, with risk controlled within 3%.
3. Resistance Level Short Selling
- Entry conditions: Price rebounds to the $1,840-1,860 area and faces resistance, with a 1-hour KDJ death cross or a long upper shadow.
- Target: Pull back to $1,800-$1,820, break down to look at $1,770.
- Stop-loss: set above $1,870 to avoid false breakout risks.
Market risks and related factors
- Technical signals: 1-hour MACD shows a top divergence, RSI rises to 65 (overbought area), a short-term pullback may occur but needs confirmation of volume support.
- BTC correlation: If Bitcoin fails to hold the psychological level of 80,000 USD, it may drag ETH down; conversely, if it breaks through 85,000 USD, it could drive a correlated rise.
- On-chain risk: The current price of ETH is approaching the option maximum pain point of $1,800. If it falls below $1,770, it may trigger over $250 million in liquidations, intensifying selling pressure.
Position and Risk Control
- Total position: ≤50%, single leverage ≤3-5 times, avoid heavy position speculation.
- Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set stop-loss levels. If ETH falls below $1,750 or BTC breaks below $80,000, decisively exit the market.
- Replenishment plan: If the price drops sharply below $1,720, reserve 30% of the funds for phased entry, betting on a technical rebound.
Summary
ETH is currently in a consolidation range of $1,770-$1,860, with a focus on breakout strategies for the day. If it stabilizes above $1,820, additional positions can be taken; if it’s a false breakout, consider shorting. Pay attention to BTC correlation and options liquidation risks, enforce strict stop-losses, and avoid chasing highs or lows. #CandyDrop 上线# #USDT 市值创新高# #BTC近期能否重返100k?# #BTC# #PI#