ARK Invest predicts that Bitcoin will reach $1.5 million by 2030 due to increased demand from institutions.

Bitcoin could reach a milestone of 1.5 million USD by the end of this decade, according to analysis from ARK Invest in the latest Big Ideas 2025 report released on Thursday (.

In the base case scenario, ARK Invest predicts Bitcoin to be valued at $710,000, while the bearish scenario still forecasts a significant increase to $300,000.

ARK Invest has announced its forecast based on several strong developing trends, including the increase in investments from institutions, the acceptance of Bitcoin as a store of value, demand from emerging markets, and the development of on-chain financial services. The report also emphasizes the growing interest from nations and corporations in incorporating Bitcoin into their reserves.

Bitcoin could account for 60% of the market capitalization of gold by 2030

At the time the report was released, Bitcoin was trading around 93,958 USD, after recovering from a period of market volatility. ARK's most optimistic scenario suggests a nearly 15-fold increase from the current level, driven by structural changes in global finance.

! [ARK Invest predicts Bitcoin will reach $1.5 million])https://img.gateio.im/social/moments-5527bec18540ea5c5bd0e99db48c4d42(Source: Ark InvestThe firm predicts that institutional investors could allocate up to 6.5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin in the most optimistic scenario, with 2.5% being the base scenario. They also believe that Bitcoin could account for up to 60% of gold's current market value, bolstering its "digital gold" thesis.

Bitcoin may reach 2.4 million USD due to acceptance from emerging markets and treasury

Emerging markets are another important focus. ARK estimates that Bitcoin could account for up to 6% of the monetary base in these economies, where inflation and currency instability continue to erode trust in traditional financial systems. They also see significant growth potential from increasing adoption by corporations and governments, which could allocate up to 10% and 7% of their reserves, respectively.

The report also points out the expansion of Bitcoin's utility beyond storage, particularly through Layer 2 networks, restaking protocols, and crypto assets. These developments are expected to contribute to an annual growth rate of 60% in on-chain financial services.

Although ARK's official optimistic scenario targets a price of 1.5 million USD for each Bitcoin by 2030, the company also introduces a refined model adjusting for inactive or lost supply. Under this adjusted supply scenario, prices in the optimistic scenario could climb to 2.4 million USD, reflecting the extreme scarcity of Bitcoin and the increasing demand from institutions.

The report does not assert that Bitcoin will definitely win, but positions it as a leading asset in the growing digital currency system and continues to attract public attention.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any decisions. We are not responsible for your investment decisions.

Mr. Teacher