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Hedge fund giant Bill Ackman warns: The tariff war could trigger an "economic nuclear winter" that severely damages the reputation and market of the United States.
American billionaire and hedge fund manager Bill Ackman publicly warned that if Trump pushes for a large-scale global tariff policy on April 9, it could trigger market panic and an "economic nuclear winter," severely damaging the United States' international reputation, investment environment, and people's livelihoods. He urged the president to set a 90-day moratorium to replace confrontation with negotiation and avoid a "self-inflicted market collapse."
The global tariff war is likely to severely damage the United States' international standing.
Ackman first pointed out that while Trump successfully elevated the issue of tariffs to the core of geopolitics and awakened a consensus in the country to correct unfair trade, if he treats allies and adversaries alike by imposing "massive and disproportionate" tariffs, it would be akin to declaring a global war. He warned that this move could severely damage the United States' reputation in the global trade and investment markets:
America's trading partners will begin to question whether we are trustworthy, and once our reputation is damaged, it will not only lead to the collapse of trade agreements but will also cause global capital to start avoiding the United States.
( Asian stocks are in deep trouble, with 1,776 companies in Taiwan hitting the limit down, and China is considering stimulus measures to cope with the tariff impact ).
Ackman points out the confidence crisis: Could a chain reaction trigger an economic winter?
Ackman emphasized that "business operations are built on confidence, and confidence is built on trust." If tariffs are launched without proper negotiation, it will lead global companies to lose trust in the United States:
If truly implemented, which corporate executive would dare to make long-term investment commitments in such an uncertain market in the United States?
It was also added that "consumer confidence will simultaneously collapse, and a wave of corporate layoffs will follow."
Especially small and medium-sized enterprises and entrepreneurs, who do not have the ability to pass on costs, will be the first to fall. This is not just something that affects Wall Street; it will directly hit the grassroots people – that is, Trump's supporters.
( Customs Tsunami Financial Survival Guide, from Investment Diversification to Strategy Sharing )
Propose a 90-day negotiation buffer period: postponement is not a sign of weakness, but an opportunity.
To avoid a comprehensive economic disaster, Ackman suggested that Trump postpone the tariff plan for 90 days to buy time for negotiations with various countries. He emphasized that this move could enhance market stability, attract trillions of dollars back, and restore confidence among businesses and consumers.
He said earnestly that if Trump continues to be obstinate, it may lead to an irreparable crisis of trust and long-term damage:
We don't need to trade a crash for bargaining chips, that's the worst way to trade.
(Facing the challenge of the United States imposing a 32% tariff, Lai Ching-te proposed five major strategies to stabilize the economic situation)
Ackman emphasizes that he is speaking not for personal gain: he will buy more good companies.
Facing external doubts that Ackman is speaking out for his own investment interests, he also clearly stated that the hedge fund he manages has no leverage, no liquidity risks, and is cash-rich, with only 1.5% of assets related to tariffs:
I am not worried about short-term gains or losses, but rather about the collapse of the overall market order. For me, if the market drops, I will buy more good companies because I am optimistic about the United States in the long run.
(Tariff storm severely hits the US stock market: is it a bottom-fishing opportunity or a risk trap?)
Trump loyalists turn: Unreasonable tariff policy will become a "historic mistake"
Even though Ackman expressed his approval of Trump's achievements during the last 76 days, he still bluntly stated that if there is a determination to push for tariffs that exceed a reasonable level, it would be a "historically significant mistake."
He criticized some of Trump's opponents who even hope for an economic collapse to prove their political stance, but he emphasized that true supporters should prioritize the interests of the country and avoid making strategic mistakes that could severely damage the nation:
This mentality is too dangerous; we are not speaking for political parties, but for the country.
And called out: "Calm down, listen to the voice of reason. What we need to do now is not to show our strength, but to protect our people and economy."
Is it still possible to rescue the future of the U.S. economy?
Ackman's appeal comes at a crucial decision point for the United States. He advocates for negotiation over confrontation, and reason over impulse, to rebuild a fair trade order and prevent the U.S. from falling into economic disaster. The decisions made in the coming days could determine the economic fate of the entire nation.
This article warns that hedge fund giant Bill Ackman states: The tariff war could trigger an "economic nuclear winter" that severely damages the reputation and market of the United States. It first appeared in Chain News ABMedia.