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Market data shows that there is an 85.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year, with only a 14.9% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. By March next year, the probabilities of a rate cut and maintaining the current rate are nearly equal, both bringing policy direction uncertainty. Investors should pay attention to how this change may impact capital allocation.

【Crypto World】MicroStrategy executives recently revealed an interesting signal: the company's long-term bullish attitude towards Bitcoin remains unchanged. Executive Vice President Andrew Kang explicitly stated that continuing to increase Bitcoin holdings will continue to create value for shareholders.
The logic behind this is straightforward—MicroStrategy is focusing on a few underdeveloped areas. One is where idle capital is needed, and the other is the rapidly growing digital credit markets. In other words, the company sees Bitcoin not just as a short-term trading asset, but as an asset with deep long-term development potential.
From the perspective of institutional investors, this sustained accumulation attitude reflects confidence in the gradual maturity of the digital asset ecosystem. Especially as the demand for digital credit continues to expand, the value support of Bitcoin as a foundational asset becomes even more prominent. This also confirms that the...

On December 30th, major U.S. stock indices declined slightly, but crypto-related stocks showed mixed performance, with Riot Platforms up 1.54% and MARA Holdings up 0.74%. Mining and blockchain company stocks were relatively resilient, and investor attention toward infrastructure companies increased.

BNB Chain has announced its 2026 technical roadmap, aiming to build the next-generation high-performance transaction chain. The core is a dual-client strategy to improve stability and performance. The short-term goal is 20,000 TPS, with a future push towards 1 million TPS, and near-instant transaction confirmation. The plan is to redefine the concept of a "transaction chain" through technical architecture optimization.

Renaiss Protocol has surpassed $1 million in trading volume since its launch in mid-November, with user activity and trading enthusiasm steadily increasing. Its limited card packs sold out within 11 minutes, demonstrating user enthusiasm for the platform. The year-end awards ceremony will release the leaderboard and the Q1 2026 roadmap.

Japanese Bitcoin company Metaplanet increased its holdings by 4,279 Bitcoins in the fourth quarter, bringing its total reserves to 35,102 Bitcoins, with an asset value of approximately $3.78 billion, demonstrating institutional investors' confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) allows national banks to participate in cryptocurrency asset transactions, considering it a legitimate banking activity. Banks play an intermediary role in this process, quickly purchasing assets from clients and reselling them to liquidity providers, without bearing the risks of holding positions or price fluctuations. Essentially, it is a standard brokerage business.

The SOL price trend shows a downward pattern, despite a brief rebound, overall remaining in a downtrend channel. Trading volume has shrunk, indicating insufficient market participation and weakening short-selling sentiment. Technical indicator signals are mixed, with support at 120.0 and resistance at 127.0. Currently in a consolidation phase, awaiting clear directional signals.

Bitcoin price retraced to $84,000, and MicroStrategy's stock price dropped about 65%, with institutions predicting its worst performance in 2025. Despite short-term bearishness, analysts' target price is close to $490, and the market remains optimistic about a medium-term rebound, with the key being the trend of Bitcoin and the crypto market.

Bitcoin's recent price fluctuations saw it approach $90,000 before falling back to $87,000, with analysts indicating resistance. If it breaks through $90,000, it could challenge $95,000. Ethereum needs to break through the $3050-$3150 range to push towards $3700, while Solana is focused on $128. The overall crypto market remains stable, with a total market cap of approximately $42.8 billion, and multi-currency technical indicators show opportunities.

【Crypto World】Ethereum founder Vitalik recently shared his thoughts on the development direction of AI laboratories. He believes that new AI projects should prioritize "enhancing human capabilities" rather than blindly pursuing fully autonomous decision-making systems.
Specifically, Vitalik recommends that such projects explicitly avoid developing systems capable of independent decision-making beyond 1 minute. This time limit may seem specific, but it actually reflects his deep understanding of AI risks—leaving enough room for human intervention is crucial.
Interestingly, he pointed out a somewhat ironic current phenomenon: even if all concerns about AI safety are proven unfounded, the market is already flooded with companies pursuing fully autonomous super artificial intelligence (ASI). In contrast, AI projects that truly focus on "building exoskeletons for the human brain" to help humans enhance cognition and abilities are scarce.
He finally urges that these types of enhancement-focused AI projects should

Recent analysis indicates that the US dollar will still face pressure next year after experiencing depreciation, due to concerns over US fiscal policy and Federal Reserve policy uncertainties. However, a weakening dollar is positive for emerging markets, easing external debt burdens and improving capital flows, which helps support emerging market stock markets.

Venezuela faces foreign exchange shortages in the second half of the year, with a weakened banking system, prompting the public to turn to stablecoins USDT, USDC, and DAI as financial channels. The perception of cryptocurrencies has shifted from speculative tools to emergency financial infrastructure, with stablecoins becoming a critical demand.

【Crypto World】The CEO of Polygon Foundation recently shared an interesting observation: the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department's policy focus is quietly shifting. Previously mainly stabilizing Wall Street, they are now beginning to focus on the stability of the US real economy—which is a significant positive for the commodities sector.
Why is this the case? A new round of policy tilt is driving up demand for tangible assets. Increased fiscal spending, accelerated re-industrialization, grid upgrade plans, increased defense investments, and industry reshoring—all these factors are boosting demand for raw materials like copper and iron. Among them, copper, as the "blood" of industry, has become the most directly benefited commodity.
And what about Bitcoin? Now, this gets interesting. Data shows that approximately two-thirds of Bitcoin's attributes are similar to commodities. In other words, its price movements have some intrinsic connection with commodities like copper and oil.
The CEO's logic is: if gold can maintain a strong performance before 2026...

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority confirms the implementation of new crypto asset banking capital requirements starting from 2026. The regulation broadly defines crypto assets, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins, requiring banks to adhere to a unified capital standard. This will have a significant impact on regulation in the crypto sector.

Recently, SOL has shown positive performance, with a slight pullback followed by a rebound. Trading volume has increased, indicating strong upward momentum. Technical indicators suggest robust bullish strength, with short-term moving averages trending upward. The recommended buy-in levels are at 119.01 and 120.15, with target prices at 125.0 and 126.41. Support and resistance are respectively between 120.0 and 125.0.