On August 15, according to the Fed's schedule, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on the economic outlook and the assessment of the Fed's policy framework at the Kansas City Fed's annual Central Bank conference held in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, at 10 AM Eastern Time on August 22 (10 PM Beijing Time). This speech comes at a critical moment: the latest data shows that tariff measures have had some impact on inflation, while the job market is slowing down. This complex situation reinforces market expectations that the Fed may announce a 25 basis point rate cut at next month's meeting. Meanwhi

Jin10 data reported on August 14 that招商宏观研报 stated that recently, the equity market has formed emotional suppression on the bond market, and the trend of looking at stocks while doing bonds has become the main factor affecting interest rate movements. However, due to the different pricing basis of the two asset classes, the stock-bond seesaw is merely a phenomenon rather than a rule, which will lead to the difficulty of sustaining the strategy of looking at stocks while doing bonds. From the bottom logic perspective, the supply and demand of money remains the fundamental factor affecting the p

Jin10 Data August 13 - German Chancellor Merz recently stated that Germany has suspended exports of any military equipment that could be used in the Gaza Strip to Israel, and called on the Israeli government not to further escalate military actions in the Gaza Strip. In response, the co-chair of Germany's Left Party, Schwertner, stated on the 12th that Germany should fully stop providing weapons to Israel and quickly follow the international community's footsteps in recognizing the State of Palestine. Among Western powers, France, the UK, Canada, and Australia have recently stated that they wi

On August 12, Musk posted, "Hey App Store, why did you refuse to include X or Grok in your 'Essential Apps' section? Clearly, it is the number one news app in the world, and Grok ranks fifth among all apps. Are you playing politics? What's going on? Curious people want to know. Apple's actions make it impossible for any AI company, except OpenAI, to reach the top spot in the App Store, which is undoubtedly an antitrust violation. xAI will take legal action immediately."

On August 11, according to Cointelegraph, Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated, "When banks start recommending Bitcoin, the price of each Bitcoin will reach 10 million dollars."

Jin10 data reported on August 10 that the Turkish Coast Guard announced on August 9 that the international shipping channel, the Dardanelles Strait, which had been closed due to wildfires in the northwestern province of Canakkale, began to resume operations early on the 9th. The Dardanelles Strait, along with the Sea of Marmara and the Bosphorus Strait, forms the Turkish Straits, which is the only waterway connecting the Black Sea and the Mediterranean Sea, and one of the busiest waterways in the world. Official data shows that nearly 46,000 vessels are expected to pass through the Dardanelles

On August 9, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a certain Whale Address sold 7,200 ETH at an average price of $3,957 in the past 18 hours, worth $28.49 million. Overall, in the past 5 days, the Wallet sold 9,000 ETH at an average price of $3,863, exchanging for 34.76 million USDT.

On August 8, according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September is 92.7%, while the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 7.3%.

Decentralization social networks could be the next killer application for cryptocurrency, and DeSoc is leading this trend. As X ( former Twitter ) and Instagram face increasing scrutiny, data collection, and Algorithm manipulation pressure, blockchain-based alternatives are gaining significant attention.
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Jin10 data reported on August 6th, the Japanese government announced on Wednesday that due to persistent inflation offsetting the impact of summer bonuses, Japan's real wages in June fell by 1.3% year-on-year, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline. The Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare stated that nominal wages rose by 2.5% to 511,210 yen (equivalent to $3,500), increasing for the 42nd consecutive month. However, driven by rising prices of rice and other food items, the consumer price index used to calculate wage data climbed 3.8% in June, keeping the real wage growth in

FET has broken through a six-month symmetrical triangle, showing bearish sentiment. It faces potential support levels around $0.56 and $0.49, while the macro trend remains slightly stable. If the Closing Price falls below $0.60, it may lead to further fall, reflecting market weakness.

【The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 89.1%】According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 10.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 89.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 3.4%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 35.6%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 60.9%. ( Jin10 )

On August 3, according to CoinGecko data, the total market capitalization of Crypto Assets has fallen by 5.4% in the last 24 hours, currently reported at $3.72 trillion. In addition, the current market share of Bitcoin is 60.5%, while the market share of Ethereum is 11.1%.

[Trump: Non-farm employment data manipulated to embarrass me] President Trump stated in a recent social media post: "In my opinion, today's employment data is manipulated, aimed at embarrassing Republicans and me—just like before and after the 2024 presidential election. They first presented three days of good data, and then on November 15, 2024, just after the election, these data were significantly revised downwards—this is entirely eyewash. 'Mr. Too Late' Powell is not doing much better! But the good news is that our country is doing exceptionally well!

Since July 10, multiple addresses have accumulated a total of 790,000 ETH, worth approximately $2.89 billion. The address 0xdbf...2ff and the address 0xdf0...EF3 have recently accumulated a large amount of ETH through different channels, indicating a strong demand for ETH in the market.

Analysts predict that Bitcoin may soon exceed $120,000, leading to $2.3 billion in liquidation. Despite a recent dip, BTC is expected to embark on a rise, potentially reaching a new historical high between $130,000 and $144,000.

On July 30, Li Chenggang, China's Vice Minister and International Trade Negotiator of the Ministry of Commerce, stated on the 29th that over the past day and a half, the economic and trade teams of both China and the United States have engaged in in-depth, candid, and constructive exchanges on major issues of mutual concern, based on the consensus reached during the call between the two heads of state on June 5. According to the consensus between China and the United States, both sides will continue to promote the extension of the U.S. side's suspended reciprocal tariffs on 24% and China's cou

Fed officials are not yet ready to cut rates this week, expecting a rate cut in the future but with disagreements, needing to wait for more evidence to determine the timing. Powell's press conference will be the focus of observation.

On July 28, according to Onchain Lens monitoring, a certain Whale went long on BTC and ETH with 15x leverage, with a position value exceeding 270 million dollars, and the current floating profit is 21 million dollars.

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee has proposed a discussion draft of the "CLARITY Act" to clarify the definition of digital assets and the SEC's regulatory approach, and has invited public feedback. The House of Representatives has voted to approve it, awaiting Senate approval and submission to Trump for signing. The passage of the bill requires 60 votes, and the opinions of the Democrats are important.