2025-12-29 17:25:22

I heard that SUI is going to unlock 43.69 million tokens, with a market cap of approximately $63.4 million, scheduled for January 1st. Once I heard this news, I started to think about it.

Honestly, such a large unlock directly hitting the market will definitely increase selling pressure. Currently, SUI's price is at $1.44, but the overall market is still volatile, with an RSI of only 47.2. Neither bulls nor bears have gained the upper hand.

From a technical perspective, there are a few key numbers to remember: support at $1.3824, resistance at $1.4976, and the critical level at $1.476. Whether it can hold above this level essentially determines the next move. If it can stay above $1.476, there’s still hope for further gains; conversely, if it falls below $1.3824, the risk becomes significant.

My current plan is to keep the position at around 50% and observe how the market reacts. If the price can stabilize above $1.476, I plan to increase the position to 80%. But if it breaks below the support at $1.3824, I won’t hesitate to cut losses and exit. Unlock events are inherently unpredictable, so there's no need to force it.

The market is so complex—what does everyone think about this wave?

SUI-1.8%

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OnchainGossiper

· 7h ago

January 1 unlocks and dumps, this wave is really hard to predict --- Damn, 43.69 million coins, how many people are going to cut losses --- 1.476 is the key, break it and run, there's no need to hesitate --- It will definitely be a mess then, the unlock moment is always a nightmare --- A 50% position is a conservative approach, but I feel like I need to buy more downward --- Looking at these numbers, it's clearly a trap, avoid on New Year's Day --- If the support at 1.3824 is really broken, everything is over --- The analysis sounds quite detailed, but no one can predict the variables of the unlock --- Instead of studying these, it's better to just observe the market reaction on the 1st --- If it can't hold 1.476, that's a signal, see you then

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HallucinationGrower

· 7h ago

January 1st directly dumped the market, this wave is a bit risky. --- 1.476 really can't hold, then it's game over. --- The unlocking wave is coming, still stubbornly holding on, do you really want to experience a roller coaster? --- 50% position is conservative, but I still feel it's a bit cautious. --- With such strong selling pressure, the rebound might just be a chance to offload. --- The key is whether 1.3824 can hold, only if it holds there is hope. --- Sounds like big players are setting traps for retail investors. --- I never touch such big unlocks, it's too easy to get cut. --- RSI is only 47, which means nothing is certain yet. --- My strategy is just two words: run away.

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AirDropMissed

· 7h ago

This wave is really hard to see clearly, the probability of unlocking and smashing the market is too high --- 1.476 can't hold, just run away, don't wait --- All old tricks, the operations before and after unlocking are very clear --- I think it will fall, 6340 million smashing down, no one can stop it --- Sell half first and hold, feels like it's going to break support --- This guy's analysis is pretty good, but I still don't dare to go all in --- On January 1st, you need to watch the order book closely, don't fall asleep --- Feels like it will break below, the New Year is just a trap --- The support level is a bit fragile, it might be smashed through directly --- My strategy is to stay on the sidelines and wait, this unlocking market is too exhausting --- Exactly, go with the trend, no need to fight it --- Stop loss when needed, greed kills people

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MetaNeighbor

· 7h ago

January 1st crash, this wave is a bit risky... --- Unlocking such a large amount and still daring to add positions? Bold enough --- RSI is only 47.2, yet trying to hold steady at 1.476, feels a bit optimistic --- Opening 50% of the position as insurance, but if it really drops below 1.38, I’ll just run --- Coming with such a move on the first day of the new year, Happy Holidays haha --- That 43.69 million coins in the institution's hands, is there still a way out for retail investors... --- If we can't hold the key level at 1.476, everything else is pointless --- Rather than adding positions, it's better to wait and see; unlocking positions is unpredictable --- Support at 1.3824, if broken, it's really time to exit, don't gamble on luck --- This operation strategy is stable, just see if the market will follow the usual pattern

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WhaleWatcher

· 7h ago

Unlocking the sell-off, I’d better stay conservative --- That wave on January 1st was really risky; if 43.69 million tokens were dumped all at once, no one could withstand it --- As long as the 1.476 key level isn’t broken, I won’t move; once it breaks, I’ll just exit --- Basically, it’s a gamble on whether we can hold the line. I agree with a 50% position for a conservative approach --- This market trend is so dull, neither bulls nor bears have been able to grasp the rhythm --- The technicals are just so-so; it still depends on how the institutions react. The biggest risk during the unlock is a stampede --- Holding above 1.476 still gives hope; if it drops below, forget about it --- I’ve already looked at this unlock date, and now I kind of regret not setting up short positions earlier --- My idea is similar; I’ll wait to see the market reaction first, no rush

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