SEB: The market's expectations for Fed interest rate cuts may be overly aggressive.

According to Huoxing Caijing, SEB's chief strategist Jussi Hiljanen stated in a report that the money market is currently pricing in more than a 100 basis point cut by the Fed by the end of 2026, which may be too aggressive considering inflation risks. He noted that if the Fed indeed meets these market expectations, it could pave the way for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to fall to 3.8% next year.

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