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比特幣、黃金和標普500自伊朗衝突開始以來的對比圖表。在黃金和標普500下跌的背景下,比特幣的上漲並非其安全資產地位的證明。關鍵因素是市場處於不同階段。比特幣在衝突開始時已經處於深度調整(−距離歷史高點下跌50%),大量賣家已經出場。相比之下,黃金和標普500仍然接近最高點,該市場更容易受到獲利了結和開始下跌的影響。因此,觀察到的動態更多是由時機和週期階段解釋的,而非比特幣轉變為"數字避風港"的表現。
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