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二探终于来了，但又和预计中的不太一样。12月到现在，即不见吸筹，也未见大规模派发。到底谁在卖？昨天下跌后才突然明白，是鲸鱼在做T！
那么跌到哪里为止呢？不知道，鲸鱼T到哪算哪，最坏的结果，也不过是跌到鲸鱼的持仓线附近。据我的观察，鲸鱼的持仓线应该在3W左右，考虑到滚仓的操作，他们的持仓成本应该在2W5甚至更低，但应该不会低于2W。
很多人把现在行情复刻6-7月，认为4W2是铁底，我对此表示怀疑，人人皆知的事情在交易市场里极不可能发生。
短线底背离，看多（反弹），目标4W55-4W6，后市看空，三探还会有。场内的多头头寸可以考虑找合适位置开空对冲。