Yang Guang BIT$BTC (4.21) Evening Strategy: US-Iran negotiations countdown, ETH pulls back and builds strength, longs ready to launch🚀

【Latest News】 (Sources: Reuters, CCTV News, White House statement)
US-Iran negotiations have entered the final stage of standoff and negotiation, with a 48-hour countdown! Iranian officials said, "No second round of talks is planned at this time," but they will keep the Pakistan mediation channel open, with an obvious pressure stance; the US delegation has arrived in Islamabad to prepare, and Trump has publicly applied pressure, saying "an agreement must be reached." Recent clashes between the two sides (maritime standoffs, drone conflicts) are within a controllable range and have not triggered a large-scale conflict. The market expects the negotiations to proceed as scheduled (April 22-23), the geopolitical risk premium will be gradually absorbed, and market expectations lean toward easing. If the negotiations move forward substantively, the crypto market may be boosted by positive momentum, and ETH is likely to strengthen in tandem with BTC.
【Market Overview】
ETH is trading around 2327. After dipping to 2250 during the day, it strongly stabilized, with strong support at 2220-2260 that is unbreakable. The 4-hour K-line has consecutive bullish candles. The MA20/MA60 golden cross forms support (~2300), and bullish momentum is abundant. With moving averages propping up from below + BTC’s strong trend, any pullback is just a buildup for consolidation and a shakeout.
Near-term resistance is 2380-2420, with heavier resistance at 2480. Downward momentum is exhausted, and a geopolitical positive catalyst is just about to happen—any moment it could trigger a breakout and rally.
【Evening Plan】
✅ For holders: Confidently hold long positions between 2280-2320. Targets are 2380-2420; if it breaks through, look for 2480-2520;
✅ For those not in yet: Lightly chase longs near the current price around 2327, or buy on a pullback at 2300-2320. Set a stop loss below 2240, betting on the negotiation-positive catalyst to push prices higher;
✅ Extreme contingency: If a sudden negative event breaks below 2320, add longs in the 2280-2300 range. Under the big trend of geopolitical easing, pullbacks are an opportunity to buy on the cheap.
Risk Warning
Geopolitics can change in an instant, market volatility is intense, so you must strictly cut losses, control position size, take profits in a timely manner, and do not hold positions blindly. $BTC