The overall market rhythm within the day is very clear at this stage: white plate is oscillating weakly, and the sentiment reversal in the evening turns to strength. In the morning, after the BTC rebounded from the 73,800 area to around 75,000, multiple attempts to push higher failed; selling pressure above is obvious. The market structure throughout is one of charging up being repeatedly blocked and the center of gravity shifting downward. In this kind of environment, following the trend to go short is about grabbing the “pullback space” that gets released—during the intraday pullback down to below 74,500, the short-side “execution advantage in this movement space” is completely in your favor. As of now, however, the decline in white plate is not a trend turning bearish; it is a shakeout and turnover before the upward move. This point has already been signaled when the afternoon lows kept rising. The real turning point comes in the evening: after the US stock market opened, risk sentiment clearly warmed up; on top of that, expectations of easing geopolitical tensions in the market increased. Funds flowed back into risk assets, and the short positions piled up at high levels earlier were liquidated in a concentrated way after breaking through key resistance, forming passive buying pressure and pushing the price higher—this is the core reason why BTC rapidly surged to above 78,000 and ETH strongly broke through 2,450. And precisely because this was understood, going long following the trend in the evening also gained continuation space; both the long and short sides within the day had their rhythm nailed, and gains naturally followed. To put it simply: this market never rewards guessing—it only rewards people who can see through the structure and dare to execute. The money you make is, in essence, the result of your understanding being realized.

　　As for the current price-structure on the chart, BTC has already completed a four-hour level range breakout. The market has officially shifted from oscillation to a trend-continuation phase, and the K-lines show continuous pushing higher, with volume and price coordinating well. The key short-term support has moved up to the 77,000—77,200 region. This is both the pullback-confirmation area after the breakout and the core defense zone for short-term longs. Once a pullback does not break it, the trend will not end. Overhead pressure is concentrated in the 78,500—79,000 range; if it holds there on increasing volume, it will further open up space above 80,000. From the daily structure, a sequence of consecutive bullish advances has already formed, and the moving averages are beginning to diverge upward—bulls are clearly in control. ETH is even stronger: the four-hour structure is clean and decisive. The 2,400 level has already been effectively reclaimed and converted into support. For the short term, watch defense at 2,420—2,430, with overhead suppression at 2,480—2,500. If it breaks through, it also has acceleration conditions. At the same time, you need to note that this current rally is strongly linked to macro sentiment. If sentiment later goes through reversals, the pullback magnitude will increase; however, before key structures break, do not consider shorting yet. First, build your positioning by going long in line with the trend. #Anthropic与OpenAI竞争升级 $BTC