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BTC's current price is roughly around 77,800, having broken out of the consolidation range of 74,000—75,000 on the short-term chart, and recently surged to the 77,000—77,900 zone. The core meaning of this structure is: the trend momentum has shifted from "range-bound oscillation" to "upward push," but there is also more obvious profit-taking pressure above.
Let me share a method for analyzing charts and making strategies: usually, start with the 3-hour chart, then look at the 1-hour, and finally trigger signals on the 30-minute and 15-minute charts. The essence of this sequence is: the larger cycle determines the direction, the medium cycle determines the position size, and the small cycle determines the price.
On the 3-hour level, Bitcoin has broken out of the previous sideways zone and shows a continuous higher high and higher low structure, indicating that the main trend in the medium to short term is still dominated by bulls. This cycle is not suitable for contrarian shorting; it’s more suitable for long positions. Only when the 3-hour MACD remains bullish or the fast line stays above the slow line do the bullish signals on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts warrant our execution.
Actually, Monkey Brother prefers to look at the 1-hour level because it is the most suitable core cycle for making trading decisions. It can filter out noise from the 3-minute and 15-minute charts, and isn’t as slow as the 3-hour chart. After a rapid rally, Bitcoin enters a high-level consolidation, and the MACD is likely in a phase of slight retracement after expansion at high levels. During this stage, if the price pulls back but the MACD histogram shortens and the fast line does not cross down, it’s often a prelude to a second attack.
Tonight, the 1-hour MACD has turned upward again after pulling back, or the price has re-approached 75,900—76,200. Suggested entry price: 75,900—76,250. Stop-loss price: 75,150. $BTC