The first round of US-Iran talks on April 11 will impact Middle Eastern geopolitics, crude oil, inflation, and Federal Reserve policies, thereby influencing the crypto market: before the talks, the market remains cautious, with mainstream coins like Bitcoin experiencing increased volatility; if the talks succeed, geopolitical tensions will ease, crude oil prices will fall, and expectations for rate cuts will rise, leading to medium-term gains for Bitcoin and altcoins, with a broad rally in altcoins; if the talks fail, risk aversion will spike, crude oil will surge, Bitcoin will experience a short-term plunge followed by volatility, and altcoins will see significant corrections. In terms of trading, maintain a light position and observe in the short term, wait for the outcome before making decisions, increase holdings of mainstream coins and deploy altcoins if successful, reduce positions and seek safety if it fails, and consider low-buying Bitcoin during panic. #币圈