📊 Wolf Analysis| 2026.04.08

24h Market Price Movements

BTC $71,477（+3.95%）🟢 Intraday High $72,110

ETH $2,237（+6.00%）🟢 Intraday High $2,251

SOL $84.72（+6.03%）🟢 Intraday High $85.90

BNB $615（+2.76%）🟢 Intraday High $621

Geopolitical cooling drives a sharp rebound in the market, with ETH/SOL leading gains of over 6%.

1h Trend: The latest 1-hour BTC fell from $71,924 to $71,477. After the high touched $72,110, it met resistance. Trading volume reached 1,044 BTC (down from the previous hour), and upside momentum has somewhat gathered; ETH fell from $2,240 to $2,237; SOL from $85.56 to $84.72; BNB from $620 to $615. Overall, this is normal pullback consolidation after a spike, not a trend reversal signal.

15m Trend: BTC consolidates in a narrow range of $71,477–$71,586, with volume shrinking to 44.6 BTC; ETH is moving sideways between $2,236–$2,240; SOL slips slightly from $84.91 to $84.72; BNB $615.96–$616.43 trades within an extremely tight range. Volatility in the Asian morning has quickly contracted, awaiting confirmation of direction from the US session.

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Market Drivers

① Trump announces a "dual-sided ceasefire" with Iran, sharply reducing geopolitical risk

CBS reports: Trump announced an "double-sided ceasefire" agreement with Iran, requiring the Strait of Hormuz to be reopened. Armed groups supported by Iran have announced a two-week pause in operations. Geopolitical risk premium rapidly fades, and global risk assets rebound collectively.

② The People’s Bank of China sets the strongest midpoint rate, RMB hits a three-year high

sino_market: The PBOC will set the daily midpoint at 6.8680 (the strongest since April 2023). Onshore RMB rises to 6.8287, a three-year high. Easing China-US economic and trade relations combined with geopolitical cooling boosts the attractiveness of RMB assets.

③ Gold falls back; Bitcoin benefits as risk appetite recovers

Reuters: After Trump paused strikes against Iran, gold fell back from near three-week highs. After safe-haven funds flowed out, some rotated into the crypto market. With geopolitical easing in the background, BTC’s "digital gold" narrative has attracted attention.

④ Trump meets with NATO Secretary General and the Minister of Agriculture today

Bloomberg: Trump will meet NATO Secretary General at 15:30 US Eastern Time, and meet the Minister of Agriculture at 11:30. Diplomatic and trade agendas intertwine; watch for any NATO statements and their cascading effects on European markets.

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⚠️ Wolf Analysis

• Uncertainty remains over whether the ceasefire agreement can continue to be carried out—do not chase longs excessively

• BTC $72,000–$72,500 is a short-term capped range; a breakout with volume is needed to sustain the move

• Gold’s pullback shows that risk-hedging sentiment has partially cooled—watch for profit-taking sell orders

• 15m volatility quickly contracts; breakout moves often start fast

• Position management comes first; it’s not advisable to go heavy on bets for one-directional moves