Three Smart Money Accounts Invest $109.5k Believing the U.S. Will Invade Iran This Year

3LOCK3EATS
2026-04-07 13:50
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, three Smart Money accounts have collectively invested $109.5k in the "Yes" position for "Will the U.S. military invade Iran this year," with the current probability of this event being "Yes" at 59%.
Pakistan has mediated, and both the U.S. and Iran have received a framework to end hostilities. The first phase involves an immediate ceasefire and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, followed by broader negotiations in the second phase. Iran has currently explicitly rejected this plan. Trump said at a White House press conference that the U.S. and Iran are still "actively" negotiating, but also reiterated that if Iran does not make concessions by Tuesday night, it will target Iran's bridges and electrical infrastructure#Gate广场四月发帖挑战