$BTC 4/5 Big Dough Morning Analysis

📊 Main Direction: Weakness seeking a bottom, rebound meeting resistance, mainly high-level trading, light position with low leverage for trial and error
✅ High-altitude reference (main focus)
Entry: 67,500–68,000 in batches (4-hour moving average strong resistance + intraday rebound resistance zone)
Target: 66,800–66,700
Stop-loss: 68,500 (if it breaks out, turn strong—strictly exit with stop-loss)
✅ Low-leverage long reference (oversold, light position)
Entry: 66,600–66,800 stabilize and enter (Bollinger lower band + multiple support tests)
Target: 67,000–67,500 (quick take-profit; don’t linger)
Stop-loss: 66,200 (if it breaks, it opens downside space—leave decisively)

Technical Logic:
1. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and moving averages are arranged bearish; bears dominate, and rebounds immediately meet resistance.
2. 67,500–68,000 above is an intraday rebound resistance zone that has been tested multiple times; with insufficient volume, it’s difficult to break through effectively.
3. 65,800–66,200 below has dual support; the early-session volume is light, making it easy to get wicks; stabilize and re-enter, and don’t blindly bottom-fish.

📌 Macro Rhythm
Non-farm payrolls strengthen expectations of high interest rates, CPI on April 10 is approaching, fear index at 32, funds are observing; no one-way move—only trade the range, quick in and quick out.
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