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【Breaking News | Global Liquidity Turning Point Signal: Japan May Be Forced into an Interest Rate Hike Cycle】 Many people are still watching the United States, but the real variables are quietly changing in Japan. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently issued a statement, sending a very key signal: even if external conflicts intensify, Japan needs to continue raising interest rates. Behind this is not just policy advice, but a re-pricing of the global liquidity structure.
1. Core Contradiction: Slowing Growth vs. Rising Inflation
Currently, Japan is in a typical macroeconomic dilemma: on one side, external uncertainty caused by Middle East conflicts; on the other, input-driven inflation driven by rising oil prices and a weakening yen. The result is: the economy is not strong, but inflation is ahead.
This kind of environment is the most challenging phase for monetary policy.
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