# Trump's Easter Trial: Last 30 Hours

Trump's red line this time is extremely blunt.
There are only three bottom lines, no room for negotiation.
First, the Strait of Hormuz must be reopened unconditionally before April 1. All drones and smart mines in the water must be cleared out until 15 million barrels of oil can physically pass through daily.
Next are the core nuclear facilities in Natanz. The IAEA must inspect and monitor the centrifuges within 48 hours, with no ambiguity.
Finally, who is giving orders within Tehran's power structure? The situation of the Supreme Leader is critical. Trump needs a clear answer, and all proxy harassment targeting US military bases must stop immediately.
Currently, Brent crude is stubbornly holding at $128. The bet is simple: if fighting really breaks out tomorrow, oil prices are likely to gap up straight to $160. That’s why Ethereum has been stuck between $1960 and $2000 all weekend. This level is either the bottom of this cycle or a one-way ticket to $1410, depending entirely on whether there’s a handshake or a trigger pulled.
The US dollar index has already surged past 106. Capital today has little loyalty; bundles of money are fleeing Europe and Asia to flow back to the US. Everyone knows this is just dodging the impending landing of the Middle Eastern black swan.
The physical world is pricing digital assets.
April 1 is not only the deadline for the ultimatum but also the watershed for Q2 liquidity. If the first missile is launched, all technical analysis will become worthless.