Bull-Bear Battle — News Sentiment Determines Northbound or Southbound

Next week (March 30 to April 3), the crypto market will enter a real turning point window. It’s not just volatility, but a critical week that will determine life or death for the bulls and bears. Those holding positions must stay steady and avoid being shaken out.

Why? Because there are three major events next week, each capable of directly influencing prices, and they will also overlap, creating a complex game of chess.

First: U.S. inflation expectations ferment, directly deciding the Federal Reserve’s rate cut pace
Although the March CPI will be released on April 10, market expectations will start to play out from next week. If inflation remains high, the Fed will maintain a hawkish stance, putting pressure on BTC/ETH; if inflation eases, rate cut expectations will heat up, and funds will accelerate flowing back into the crypto market.

Second: April 3 evening Non-Farm Payrolls data, the ultimate judgment
At 20:30 Beijing time on April 3, the U.S. March Non-Farm Employment data will be released. Strong employment → overheating economy → no rate cuts → crypto market suppressed; weak employment → rate cut expectations peak → BTC/ETH violently rebound. That night, volatility will be enough to make many people regret missing out.

Third: Middle East black swan event, the anti-routine of safe-haven and liquidity
Tensions will cause funds to flood into Bitcoin for safe-haven in the short term, but a surge in oil prices will push up inflation, forcing the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, which could cause prices to plummet in the opposite direction. This anti-routine is misunderstood by 90% of people. $BTC