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Bitcoin just hit $71,088. The Senate gave Trump a blank check on Iran. And a new Fed Chair just walked in. Three things happened today and most people only noticed one.
Start with Kevin Warsh. Trump nominated him January 30 to replace Jerome Powell in May. On the surface this looks like a routine leadership change. It is not. Warsh spent his entire career as an inflation hawk. He opposed quantitative easing. He warned about the Fed's bloated balance sheet for years. That was the old Warsh.
The new Warsh wrote in the Wall Street Journal late last year that inflation is a choice and the Fed should stop acting like stagflation is inevitable. He is now publicly aligned with rate cuts. Markets read that shift immediately. CME FedWatch shows March rate cut odds moved from 18.4% to 23% after his nomination cleared the Senate pipeline. That is not a massive move but the direction matters. The market is pricing in a more accommodative Fed starting June 2026 when Warsh takes his first FOMC meeting as Chair.
Then the Senate voted 53 to 47 to reject the war powers resolution that would have limited Trump's Iran strikes. That means the military operation continues with full Congressional backing. No ceasefire pressure from Washington. Iran conflict stays live. Oil stays elevated. Inflation expectations stay sticky. And yet Bitcoin still climbed.
BTC hit $71,088 today. That is the highest level since February 5. Total crypto market cap back above $2.41 trillion.
Think about what that price action is actually saying. Iran war ongoing. Inflation risk rising. Fed on hold until June at earliest. And Bitcoin is up, not down.
The market is front running Warsh. If a dovish Fed Chair takes over in May and rate cuts start in H2 2026, liquidity comes back into risk assets. Bitcoin historically runs hardest in high liquidity environments. Institutions know this. The $337 million in BTC and ETH bought last week by Strategy, ProCap, and Bitmine was not random. These firms are positioning now for what happens when Warsh cuts.
$74,050 was touched earlier this week. $71,088 right now after a small pullback. The next resistance is the February 5 high. Above that, all-time high territory opens up again.
The Fed just changed hands. Bitcoin noticed before most people did.
#BitcoinHitsOneMonthHigh #CelebratingNewYearOnGateSquare