Yesterday, many people were firmly bearish, expecting a direct drop below 60,000. Essentially, they are simply comparing the current market to the extreme movements seen during the Russia-Ukraine conflict outbreak.

But the market never fully replicates history. Relying too much on "emotional memory" for trading will only lead to path dependence, being driven by the main force's rhythm.

Structurally, the major trend remains bearish, and this has not changed; however, from the perspective of market capital flow and short-term cycle structure, after continuous release of short-selling momentum, there is a technical rebound demand in the short term. Truly professional trading is not about emotional one-sided bets, but about finding higher cost-performance entry zones within the trend framework.

Currently, the key resistance has returned to the 67,900–68,850 range, which is the structural pressure zone after the previous breakdown, combined with a short-term concentration of chips, offering an advantageous risk-reward ratio for short positions.

Strategically, it is more advisable to gradually establish short positions in the 68,200–68,850 range, using structural pressure as a defense, rather than blindly chasing shorts at low levels to bet on a larger one-sided continuation.

Follow the trend, get the rhythm right—more important than predicting the direction.
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