【$TRUMP Signal】Key position in long-short battle, waiting for 1H level direction choice

$TRUMP The 1H level is oscillating narrowly around 3.39, with the price compressed below EMA20(3.413) and EMA50(3.426), showing weak consolidation. The 4H level is in a sideways movement within a downward channel, with bulls and bears fiercely contesting in the 3.37-3.45 range. Currently, the negative funding rate(-0.0126%) and stable OI indicate that bears have not withdrawn massively, but the price has not broken further, suggesting a potential short squeeze rebound opportunity. The key is the direction choice on the 1H level.

🎯 Direction: Wait and see( Pending orders)

⚡ Pending order strategy:

- Long trigger: Price breaks above and stabilizes at 3.415 ( Reason: Breaks through the dual resistance of 1H EMA20 and EMA50, confirming short-term momentum turns strong)

- Short trigger: Price falls below 3.370 ( Reason: Breaks recent swing low and 4H support, opening downward space)

🎯 Entry / Pending orders:

- Long entry: After breakout, retest the 3.405-3.410 zone ( Reason: Retest confirms support)

- Short entry: After breakdown, rebound in the 3.375-3.380 zone ( Reason: Rebound confirms resistance)

🛑 Stop-loss:

- Long stop-loss: 3.385 ( Reason: Falls below the previous swing low of the breakout range)

- Short stop-loss: 3.425 ( Reason: Breaks above previous high and 1H EMA20)

🚀 Target 1:

- Long target: 3.485 ( Reason: 4H previous high and channel upper boundary resistance)

- Short target: 3.320 ( Reason: Previous low support and channel lower boundary)

🚀 Target 2:

- Long target: 3.550 ( Reason: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level)

- Short target: 3.250 ( Reason: Previous low area on daily chart)

🛡️ Trading management:

- Position suggestion: Light position ( Reason: Market direction is unclear, following breakout/breakdown strategy, higher risk)

- Execution strategy: Regardless of long or short, reduce position by 50% after reaching target 1, and move stop-loss to entry point. Remaining position aims for target 2. If the price does not move as expected, exit decisively at stop-loss.

Deep logic: Market depth shows buy orders are much thicker than sell orders(depth_imbalance: 0.78%), yet the price is falling, indicating a contradiction—main force may be suppressing the price to accumulate or passively absorbing orders. The 1H RSI(44.59) is in a neutral to weak zone, with rebound potential. Stable OI indicates neither bulls nor bears have exited, waiting for a trend reversal signal. The core of the current strategy is to wait for the market to choose a direction and then follow the stronger side.

View real-time market 👇 $TRUMP

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