$DOGE #BitcoinPlungeNearsHistoricLows

Here is a professional trading analysis DOGE/USDT charts, culminating in a specific trade plan using the Supply & Demand + MACD strategy.

Coin Introduction

DOGE (Dogecoin), the original "meme coin," has solidified its position as a staple in the cryptocurrency market. Known for its vibrant community and high-profile endorsements, it has transitioned from a joke to a serious trading instrument, offering high liquidity and volatility that attracts both retail and institutional players looking for significant price swings.

Market Analysis & Multi-Timeframe Structure

1. Long-Term Chart (1-Day)

· Price Structure: After a massive sell-off from the 0.16853 high, DOGE found a strong demand zone and has been recovering. The price is currently trading near a critical inflection point.
· Pattern: We see a classic "V-shape" recovery, but price is now confronting the previous breakdown structure. The massive bullish MACD crossover on this timeframe (MACD: 0.00171) confirms that the momentum has structurally shifted from bearish to bullish.

2. Medium-Term Chart (4H)

· Price Structure: Price is consolidating after a sharp impulse move up. It is currently respecting the BOLL (20,2) bands, with the price at 0.10086 sitting right on the middle band (basis).
· Pattern: A clear ascending channel or bullish flag pattern is visible. The price recently swept the low at 0.09840 and bounced, indicating a liquidity grab before a potential move higher.

3. Short-Term Chart (15m)

· Price Structure: The market is exhibiting compression. The BOLL bands are tightening (UB: 0.10139, LB: 0.10059), which typically precedes a volatile expansion. Price is hovering around the middle band, showing indecision.
· Pattern: A micro-range or "coil" is forming. The long wicks on the recent candles indicate a battle between buyers and sellers, but the fact that price is holding above the 0.10059 support suggests underlying strength.

Trend Line Analysis

· Long-term: The trend is your friend. Since the December lows, DOGE has been making higher highs and higher lows. The descending resistance from the 0.16853 peak has been broken.
· Short-term: A key upward trendline (support) originates from the 0.09840 low. As long as price holds above this, the immediate bias remains bullish.

Zone Momentum Fusion Strategy: The Trade Plan

We are looking for confluence. The long-term trend is up (Momentum), and we are looking to buy a short-term dip into a high-probability demand zone.

Investment Capital: $1600

The Setup: The "Bullish Order Block" Entry
On the 15-minute chart (Screenshot 1), the zone between $0.09980** and **$0.10040 is our primary Demand Zone.

· Why this zone? Look at the candle body size leading into the low of 0.09840. The move down was made of large, imbalanced candles (sell-side exhaustion). However, the move up from the low was sharp and clean, leaving an "unmitigated" order block around the 0.10000 psychological level. This is where smart money likely accumulated.
· MACD Confluence: The MACD on the medium timeframe is bullish. On the short-term chart, we are waiting for the MACD to curl up from below the zero line, signaling the dip is over and momentum is returning.

Trade Execution:

1. The Zone Entry (Limit Order):
· Entry Price: Place a limit order at $0.10015. This sits within the heart of the demand zone, offering the best risk-reward ratio.
· Rationale: We are buying the "unmitigated" supply-turned-demand zone, anticipating a reaction.
2. The Aggressive Entry (Market Confirmation):
· Entry Trigger: If price reaches the zone and you see a strong bullish engulfing candle or a hammer forming on the 5m/15m chart with increasing volume, enter a market order. (Expected price ~$0.10030).

Stop Loss (Risk Management):

· Stop Loss Price: $0.09950.
· Rationale: Placed just below the recent low (0.09840) wick and below the LB of the BOLL band on the short-term chart. If price breaks this, the demand zone is invalidated.
· Risk: $0.10015 - $0.09950 = -0.065% (approx. $10.40 loss per $1600 position if using proper leverage/sizing).

Take Profit Targets:

· Target 1 (TP1 - The Low Hanging Fruit): $0.10150
· Reason: This targets the recent high and the upper Bollinger Band resistance. A conservative and high-probability move.
· Target 2 (TP2 - The Momentum Runner): $0.10360
· Reason: This targets a sweep of the recent "24h High." If momentum breaks the range, this is the first major resistance level.
· Target 3 (TP3 - The Extension): $0.10550
· Reason: This represents a continuation of the medium-term trend and a break above the recent consolidation channel.

Professional Trader's Edge:
"The market is currently compressing like a spring. The massive volume spike on the way up from the lows tells us buyers are present. We aren't just buying a price; we are buying a reaction from a zone where imbalance previously existed. The smart play is to let the market prove itself at 0.10015. If it holds, we ride the wave toward 0.10360. If it fails, we respect the risk and move on. Patience here separates the pros from the amateurs."