From the perspective of the Five Elements Qi and the Great Cycle, when will the "suppression" of BTC end?

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$BTC ‌ Currently, it is the Year of Bing Wu Fire, with fire flourishing and earth scorched, metal and water weakening. The fiery nature of fire leads to inflation frenzy, the metal's contraction signifies monetary tightening, and the flowing water represents market liquidity, all three battling each other. Water (liquidity) is suppressed by fire and leaks from metal, which is the root of the crypto winter. On technical charts, the BTC monthly "Head and Shoulders" right shoulder is gradually forming, and the weekly is held down by the midline. True vitality awaits after the autumn of 2026 when the fire subsides, and the qi of metal and water gradually rises, revealing the scene of "true water nurturing wood." The Five Elements Qi and the Market Cycle
Bing Fire: the fire of the sun, representing inflation, frenzy, and speculative sentiment. Global central banks "suppress fire" (raising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets), like using metal to cut wood—dampening the flames but also harming the roots (economic vitality). Wu Fire: the fire in the furnace, refining gold from the ashes. Earth (the real economy) is scorched, metal (monetary credit) is melted, and liquidity (water) evaporates completely. The influence of the Five Elements interactions on the crypto market: Fire surges, water dries up: Overheated speculation (fire) drains market liquidity (water), leading to asset price bubbles and collapses. Strong metal and weakened wood: a strong dollar and high interest rates (metal) suppress the growth of risk assets (cryptocurrencies). Heavy earth burying gold: high debt and stagflation risks (earth) mask the true value of monetary credit (gold), triggering risk-averse sentiment. Under the pattern of fiery, strong metal, and dried water, BTC will inevitably face the triple suppression of "wood burned by fire, wood cut by metal, and wood withered by water."
Turning point (2026‑2028):
2026 Bing Wu: Fire reaches its extreme, and excess reverses. After autumn, fire gradually retreats, earth qi begins to flourish (stagflation pressure becomes prominent).
2027 Ding Wei: the embers of fire (Ding) generate earth (Wei), earth flourishes and produces metal. Policy focus shifts from "curbing inflation" to "preventing recession," with tightening (metal) reaching its peak.
2028 Wu Shen: earth (Wu) generates metal (Shen), and metal flourishes to produce water. Global liquidity (water) gates gradually open, true water nourishes wood, and vitality begins to sprout.
The unity of the Three Talents reveals vitality
It requires the resonance of Heaven's timing (Five Elements), Earthly conditions (price), and Human harmony (policy):
Earthly conditions: prices complete the return to the "land of metal and water."
In the Five Elements, metal signifies contraction, water signifies nourishment. Prices need to fall sufficiently to 40,000‑50,000 (Geng Xin metal, Ren Gui water levels) to dispel fire toxins and accumulate water qi.
Human harmony: policies complete the transition from "metal generating water."
Global central banks' monetary policies shift from "metal contraction" (raising interest rates and shrinking balance sheets) to "water flow" (cutting rates and easing), which is the opportunity for "metal generating water." The earliest signals may appear at the end of 2026 to 2027.
Heaven's timing: the Five Elements Qi shifts into "Clear Water and Wood," awaiting fire to retreat, metal to stabilize, and water to generate, as the market enters a new cycle of "white water and bright wood and fire." BTC will be reborn with water nourishing, metal protecting, and earth nurturing.
The earliest recovery is after autumn 2026, when fire weakens and metal and water qi begin to flow. Prices have bottomed at 40,000‑50,000, and policies are clearer. BTC is expected to enter a new long cycle of "water nurturing wood" around 2027‑2028!

(This article combines the principles of the Five Elements and I Ching, serving as a speculative analysis. The market is unpredictable; please invest cautiously and bear the gains and losses yourself.)#我在Gate广场过新年