📊 2026-02-11 ETH Technical Analysis + Trading Strategies (As of 11:30)

Current Price: Approximately $2,030 (24h +3.7%, oversold rebound)

1. Core Key Price Levels (Direct Trading)

- Support Levels
- Short-term Strong Support: 2,000 (psychological threshold + dense trading)
- Secondary Support: 1,950 (yesterday's low)
- Strong Support: 1,900 (mid-term defense)
- Resistance Levels
- Short-term Resistance: 2,070–2,120 (EMA20 + previous platform)
- Strong Resistance: 2,200 (weekly pressure + trapped zone)

2. Multi-timeframe Technical Status

- Daily Chart
- Oversold rebound correction, RSI from oversold to uptrend, bearish momentum weakening
- Moving averages in a bearish alignment, initial rebound targets at 2,120–2,200 resistance
- Not yet broken EMA20, still biased bearish in mid-term
- 4-hour Chart
- Bottom stabilized, 2,000 support effective, oscillating slightly bullish
- Moderate volume, breakout above 2,120 needed to open rebound space
- 1-hour Chart
- Narrow oscillation: 2,010–2,050, waiting for non-farm payrolls to determine direction

3. Capital and Macro Environment

- ETF Funds: ETH ETF stops falling, marginal fund inflow, selling pressure eased
- Market Sentiment: shifting from extreme fear to cautious observation, liquidation pressure sharply reduced
- Key Tonight: 21:30 US Non-Farm Payroll Data, likely to trigger intense volatility

4. Today's Trading Strategies (For Reference Only, Not Investment Advice)

1) Before Data Release (Before 21:30): Light positions, observe without betting on direction

- Range-bound oscillation: 2,010–2,050, sell high and buy low
- Position ≤10%, strict stop-loss

2) After Data: Execute based on scenarios

- Scenario A: Data exceeds expectations (≥120,000)
- Negative for ETH, easing rate cut expectations
- Short positions: short at 2,070–2,120, stop-loss at 2,150, targets 2,000 → 1,950 → 1,900
- Scenario B: Data in line with expectations (70,000–100,000)
- Range trading, operate within 1,950–2,200
- Long positions: light long at 2,000–2,010, stop-loss at 1,980, targets 2,070→2,120
- Short positions: short at 2,120–2,200, stop-loss at 2,230, targets 2,070→2,000
- Scenario C: Data significantly below expectations (≤50,000)
- Positive for ETH, rate cut expectations heating up
- Long positions: chase longs at 2,030–2,050, stop-loss at 1,980, targets 2,120→2,200

3) Mid-term Strategy

- Mainly observe, go long only after stabilizing above 2,200; if below 2,000, look at 1,900 support
- Still in a deleveraging cycle, rebound is not a reversal, strictly control positions

5. Risk Management Points

- Positions ≤10% before non-farm payrolls, increase after data release
- Unified Stop-loss: Long at 1,980, short at 2,230
- Volatility is high, avoid holding large positions or chasing trades