XRP and its lucky number: 173 days that could change everything

Markets have memory, and numbers sometimes tell stories that transcend coincidence. The case of XRP is particularly fascinating: after reaching its peak in July 2025, exactly 173 days have passed until now, and this figure is no ordinary lucky number in technical analysis. This period notably coincides with the cycle the cryptocurrency experienced during its previous major expansion, raising questions about whether we are on the verge of a significant move.

The 173-day cycle: when history repeats in XRP

The analyst known as “Bird” has identified a pattern almost identical to the one that preceded the big move in 2025. On that occasion, it took exactly 173 days for XRP to break its all-time high after forming a technical pattern known as a descending wedge. The temporal coincidence is striking: from the July 2025 peak to today, the same 173 days have passed.

This lucky number seems to be linked to a deeper cycle in XRP’s behavior. Technical cycles are not coincidences but patterns that repeat when market forces create similar conditions. The central question is whether history is about to validate itself again with the same precision.

Maximum compression: XRP on the brink of change

Despite the selling pressure that has marked these months, XRP maintains a surprisingly resilient structure. It is currently trading at $1.45, consolidating within an increasingly narrow range from its previous level of $1.94. This reduction in operational space is characteristic of an advanced compression phase.

The analogy of a compressed spring is relevant here: the smaller the space, the greater the potential energy accumulated. XRP’s chart structure shows exactly this: a progressive convergence of support and resistance levels that, historically, has preceded expanded movements. The $85.12M in 24-hour volume (according to recent data) is modest compared to previous cycles, but it does not invalidate the technical setup.

Technical targets: from the present to 2017 highs

If the pattern repeats as anticipated, the immediate target is between $4 and $4.5, representing a 113% increase from the current level. This projection is based on the similarity of chart patterns and historical expansion proportions after compression.

However, analysts like “Steph is Crypto” extend this view to the 2017 highs, the legendary previous cycle. In that scenario of maximum euphoria, the target would be significantly higher, reaching levels close to $22 per token. These numbers may seem distant from $1.45, but in the context of complete technical cycles, they are not impossible projections.

Is volume a critical factor right now?

A cautious note is the current volume level. The approximately $85.12 million in daily movement is lower than the peaks of $1.8 billion observed in previous cycles. However, technical history suggests that modest volumes do not always invalidate solid setups. The chart structure remains a sticker of moments prior to major movements.

XRP does not show fundamental weakness in its pattern; it is consolidating, accumulating in the silence of these 173 days that could be its lucky number in this new cycle. The question the market faces is whether we will witness a validation of history or if this lucky number will be just a temporal coincidence.

Meanwhile, the 173 days elapsed mark a psychological and technical milestone that cannot be ignored. Whether XRP is about to take off toward the intermediate targets of $4.5 or move toward a full cycle scenario to all-time highs, the lucky number seems to have sounded. What comes next will depend on the market’s ability to validate the repetition of patterns that have governed its previous behavior.