#BTC Bottom-fishing or Wait-and-See? My Take Market view: I don’t think we’ve seen the final bottom yet. When BTC, U.S. stocks, gold, and silver all fall together, it usually signals liquidity stress, not just a crypto-specific issue. Forced deleveraging > fundamentals in the short term.
Bottom-fishing signals I’m watching: Panic selling + funding rates deeply negative Strong volume spike with long lower wicks on BTC daily
Macro confirmation: USD cooling down or bond yields stabilizing Until at least 2 of these appear, I prefer scaling in slowly instead of going all-in.
Why everything is dropping together: This looks like a classic risk-off + margin call cycle. When volatility spikes, institutions sell everything to raise cash even gold isn’t spared. Correlation goes to 1 during stress.
My recent trading: Mostly defensive. Reduced spot exposure, did short-term shorts on BTC rebounds, and kept cash ready. No rush surviving volatility is more important than catching the exact bottom. Conclusion: Bottom-fishing is a strategy, not a moment. Patience + risk control > guessing the bottom.
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#当前行情抄底还是观望?
#BTC Bottom-fishing or Wait-and-See? My Take
Market view:
I don’t think we’ve seen the final bottom yet.
When BTC, U.S. stocks, gold, and silver all fall together, it usually signals liquidity stress, not just a crypto-specific issue.
Forced deleveraging > fundamentals in the short term.
Bottom-fishing signals I’m watching: Panic selling + funding rates deeply negative
Strong volume spike with long lower wicks on BTC daily
Macro confirmation: USD cooling down or bond yields stabilizing
Until at least 2 of these appear, I prefer scaling in slowly instead of going all-in.
Why everything is dropping together: This looks like a classic risk-off + margin call cycle.
When volatility spikes, institutions sell everything to raise cash even gold isn’t spared.
Correlation goes to 1 during stress.
My recent trading:
Mostly defensive. Reduced spot exposure, did short-term shorts on BTC rebounds, and kept cash ready.
No rush surviving volatility is more important than catching the exact bottom.
Conclusion: Bottom-fishing is a strategy, not a moment.
Patience + risk control > guessing the bottom.