The four-year cycles in the cryptocurrency market: rotation and translation as an unchanging dynamic

Many questioned whether the massive entry of institutions had fundamentally altered the cyclical pattern of the crypto market. This concern was understandable, but in hindsight, it proved to be quite simplistic. Cycles will persist, even if they evolve—and this transformation will be too gradual to be captured in real time. Just as Earth’s rotation and translation are continuous processes that humanity can barely perceive, market cycles change at such a slow pace that abrupt shifts are practically impossible.

Why cycles undergo slow changes, like Earth’s rotation and translation

The perception that the four-year cycle remains valid does not rely on sophisticated models. It is a basic logic: where there is an upward movement, a decline necessarily follows, and where there are prolonged periods of decline, recovery is inevitable. The entry of institutional capital certainly influences the magnitude and speed of these oscillations, but it does not eliminate the fundamental pattern.

The analogy with celestial phenomena is appropriate precisely because it illustrates movements that structure everything around them but escape immediate observation. Institutions brought more liquidity and less extreme volatility, but the cycle continues pulsating beneath the surface.

The simple logic behind the cycle: where there is a high, a fall will come

There is a market truth that few can apply in practice: in falling markets, you enter; in rising markets, you exit. Paradoxically, most investors behave in diametrically opposite ways. They buy when everyone is buying, sell when everyone is selling. This herd behavior is exactly what allows cycles to perpetuate—each round of speculation attracts new participants trapped in inappropriate positions.

Those who understand this dynamic do not need complex indicators. They see a bear market as an opportunity, not a threat. They recognize that cycles are inherent to the nature of decentralized assets.

2029: the decisive moment for the next wave and action strategy

Looking at the next expansion wave, the timeline is remarkably clear: the first half of 2029 is set as the privileged period for decisive action. It is not guesswork—it’s extrapolation based on the established pattern.

The window for success in the crypto market depends on the ability to go against the emotional flow. While most are still fearful and prices remain depressed, it is the moment to position oneself. When the bull market consolidates, when mainstream news celebrates exponential gains and everyone talks about cryptocurrencies, it will already be too late—the cycle beginning in 2029 will be too mature for new entrants.

The four-year cycles will continue structuring the crypto market, with the same inevitability as Earth’s rotation and translation that govern the universe. Recognizing this truth separates investors who thrive from those perpetually caught by the waves.