The four-year cycles and the movement of the cryptocurrency market

Some question whether the massive entry of institutions into the cryptocurrency market has altered the four-year cycles or even eliminated this historically observed pattern. This concern is understandable, but a deeper analysis reveals that the cycles still exist, even if they undergo gradual and imperceptible transformations to the human eye.

Market Translocation: Slow and Inevitable Change

Just as Earth’s translocation around the Sun is so slow that humanity can only perceive its effects over centuries, market cycles also undergo gradual transformations. The concept is not complex: where there is a high, a fall will necessarily follow; where there is a prolonged fall, a rise will come. It is a dynamic as simple as it is predictable, but many investors insist on ignoring it.

The Logic Behind the Cycles

The conviction that the four-year cycle remains valid does not rest on sophisticated models but on a fundamental truth: the market always seeks balance. The entry of institutions may have smoothed certain volatilities, but it has not nullified the essence of the cycle. Observing recent history of the cryptocurrency market, the patterns remain remarkably consistent, reinforcing this thesis.

2029: The Next Inflection Point

Looking ahead, the first half of 2029 emerges as a critical moment for the next bull run. This time horizon is not random but the result of systematic analysis of previous cyclical patterns. For those who can resist the psychological pressures of the market, this window of opportunity will be significant.

The Psychological Mistake That Costs a Fortune

Most investors make the opposite mistake of what they should do: they enter when the market is high (driven by FOMO) and sell when it is low (dominated by fear). This counter-evolutionary behavior is the main reason for losses cycle after cycle. Mastering the psychology of the cycle is more valuable than any mathematical model.

The rule is simple and timeless: a falling market is an entry opportunity; a rising market is a moment to take profits. Those who invert this logic end up being caught by the cycles, while disciplined investors systematically benefit from them.