Low volatility oscillation, range 2920-3000. Liquidity is poor over the weekend, making it susceptible to weekend news (such as macro data, US stocks) or BTC linkage effects. If BTC remains stable around 100,000, ETH is likely to move sideways; if BTC dips, ETH may quickly test support at 2890-2920.

1. Long position (recommended priority, higher probability):
• Entry zone: around 2920 (enter when BTC stays above 88.5k + ETH shows short-term oversold rebound signals, confirmed by hammer or bullish engulfing candlestick).
• Target: first around 2970 (resistance), if BTC volume increases and breaks above 90k, hold until 3030-3050.
• Small stop-loss: below 2890-2900 (stop loss if breaks below 2890, BTC linked to breaking 88.5k).
• Reason: BTC short-term oversold + ETH repeatedly tests 2890 for support; if BTC does not break 88k, ETH has room to rebound. Small stop-loss to protect capital, good risk-reward ratio.
2. Short position (if BTC weakness is confirmed):
• Entry zone: 2970-3000 (enter when rebound weakens + upper shadow/resistance rejection, BTC near 91k being rejected linkage).
• Target: first at 2920-2890 (support).
• Small stop-loss: above 3010-3020 (break above 3010 triggers stop loss, risk 30-50 points, BTC linked to breaking 91k).
• Reason: Both are dominated by medium- to long-term death crosses; if BTC continues to shrink in volume and oscillate weakly, ETH is prone to decline. Weekend sharp drop risk is high, but confirmation of BTC breaking down is needed.
Tips:
• Prioritize 1-4 hour timeframe, intraday swings (no overnight large positions).
• Watch key levels at BTC 88.5k/91k as signals for ETH direction change.
• If no clear signals (BTC continues sideways at 89k), mainly observe or only do ultra-short-term trades.
• Weekend false breakouts are common; stop-loss must be strictly executed.
Pure technical analysis, market can change instantly.
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