Sinh Tồn Crypto Law: 9 Steel Principles Forged from 10 Years of Blood and Fire

The longer I do crypto, the more I believe one thing: winning or losing is not about who is smarter, but about who stays calm. This article is not glamorous, just the principles I’ve derived through real money and real mistakes. I don’t promise quick wealth, but it can help you stay alive in the market.

1. Trends Are the Father, The New Era of Living Don’t dream of “buying the bottom – selling the top.” I only believe in the trend. If a strong coin is falling, don’t rush in; wait for stability before talking. Short-term: the 3-day moving average trending up is for swing trading. Medium-term: the 30-day moving average trending up is for holding. Main trend: the price above the 80-day moving average indicates a primary uptrend. Going against the trend is like swimming against the current: tiring and unproductive.
2. Rhythm Is More Important Than Super Profitability When a coin heats up for 2 consecutive days, many people don’t take profit and then see profits evaporate. My rule: Coin increases >7%: a high rebound the next day is often a buy signal. Better to take small gains than to bet on the last move. Opportunities are still plentiful, and your capital is only one. Longevity is more important than making a quick thousand times.
3. Volume Is the True Mirror of Reality Low-volume breakout: likely large cash inflow. High volume without price movement: signs of selling pressure. Prices can be manipulated, but volume is hard to fake.
4. Don’t Love Trash If a coin is stagnant for 3 days with no interest, observe for another 3 days; if still quiet, change it. The “emotional trap” is the biggest killer: holding onto hope that “it will come back.” In reality, most altcoins never return.
5. Cutting Losses Is a Lifeline If the next day you can’t recover to the cost basis, it’s a sign of misjudgment. Cut immediately. Cutting losses is not a failure; it’s a way to keep the option to re-enter the game.
6. Small Capital Needs “Aggression,” Large Capital Needs “Confidence” Small capital: only trade high-probability setups, strict discipline, minimum profit/loss ratio of 1:3 (for example, when the leading coin recovers support). Large capital: diversify allocation, core assets (like BTC, ETH), which make up most; speculative part no more than 20%.
7. Emotions Are the Biggest Enemy “Sell just before it rises, buy just before it drops, go all-in and get burned” — because of emotions. Use rules instead of feelings: For example: increase by 1.5 times → recover 50%; each additional 1.5 times increase → sell another 10%. Rules to beat yourself, not the market.
8. Don’t Mistake Luck for Skill Getting lucky on one trade and thinking you’re a genius often ends in a losing streak. True experts: survive the bear, profit in the bull, maintain a stable win rate. The “stupid” things like on-chain analysis, data review, project research, trading journals… are the foundation.
9. Opportunities Always Exist, There Is Only One Market Probability tricks only work when the trend is intact. Once it reverses, all formulas are meaningless. Prioritize capital safety above all. Summary Crypto has no holy grail. The shortest path is to avoid the most traps. These nine principles are all “counterintuitive”: Others are greedy, be cautious. Others panic, stay calm. If you understand and can do this, you are ahead of most traders. Remember: the market rises to make money, the market falls to accumulate. In this battlefield, survival is the greatest victory. Safety note: Crypto is high risk, highly volatile. Do not use living expenses, do not borrow to invest, always set stop-loss and manage capital. Learn before trading — knowledge is your greatest asset.