After the CPI release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in April increased to 42%

GateUser-6433627c · 2026-01-13T13:44:28+00:00

On January 13, according to Reuters, traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve possibly not waiting until after Fed Chair Powell's term ends in May to cut interest rates, as the previous U.S. Labor Department report showed core consumer prices rose slightly less than expected. Although traders still believe that a June rate cut is the most likely outcome, the latest data forecast the probability of a Fed rate cut in April at about 42%, up from 38% before the data release.

GateUser-6433627c

2026-01-13 13:44:28

1 月 13 日，据路透报道，周二，交易员们加大了押注，认为美联储可能不会等到美联储主席鲍威尔任期于五月结束后再降息，因为此前美国劳工统计局报告称，基本消费者价格上涨幅度略低于预期。尽管交易员们仍认为，六月降息是最可能的结果，但根据最新数据预测，美联储 4 月降息的概率约为 42%，高于数据发布前的 38%。

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